Regular Season - 15 · 23 November 2026, 18:00 UTC

Brondby vs FC Midtjylland Superliga prediction

Brondby

Our model says: Brondby 1–2 FC Midtjylland

The model makes it 30% Brondby, 25% draw, 45% FC Midtjylland — fair odds of 3.33, 4.00 and 2.22.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

Expected goals: Brondby 1.38, FC Midtjylland 1.82.

Both teams to score: 63%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%, under 2.5: 38%.

Model confidence: Medium — calls at this level have come off 46% of the time, over 2,920 settled matches.

Edge to FC Midtjylland: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.

Published 9 November 2026 · updated 12 November 2026

Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 12 November 2026. Brondby's rating is built from 47 Danish Superliga matches and FC Midtjylland's from 46, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 470 matches.

Key facts

Brondby are 5th on 22 points from 14 games; FC Midtjylland are 2nd on 32 points from 14 games — Superliga.
Brondby have won 3 of their last 5 games, most recently a 0-1 defeat away to FC Copenhagen.
FC Midtjylland are unbeaten in their last 5 games (4 won), most recently a 2-2 draw at home to Sonderjyske.
Last 6 meetings: FC Midtjylland 4 wins to 1, 1 draw; the most recent, 14 September 2026, ended FC Midtjylland 4–1 Brondby.

More Danish Superliga predictions

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Live win probability

From kick-off

From kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.

Model insights: Brondby vs FC Midtjylland

63%

Both teams to score

62%

Over 2.5 goals

38%

Under 2.5 goals

Most likely scorelines

Brondby win Draw FC Midtjylland win

1–111%
1–29%
2–17%
0–17%
0–27%
2–26%
1–36%

Scores read Brondby first; the other scorelines share the remaining 47%. How to read this.

Has the model earned this number?

FC Midtjylland at 45%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

Form going into Brondby vs FC Midtjylland

Brondby

Superliga

L0-1away to FC Copenhagen8 November 2026
W2-0Aarhus1 November 2026
W3-1away to Randers FC23 October 2026
L1-2away to Odense18 October 2026
W5-2Lyngby11 October 2026

FC Midtjylland

Superliga

D2-2Sonderjyske8 November 2026
W3-2away to FC Nordsjaelland1 November 2026
W3-2Lyngby25 October 2026
W2-1away to Viborg19 October 2026
W2-1FC Copenhagen11 October 2026

What these results say

Brondby scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
Brondby conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
FC Midtjylland went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
FC Midtjylland scored in every one of these 5 matches.
FC Midtjylland conceded in every one of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Superliga table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
5	Brondby	14	7	1	6	23	21	+2	22
2	FC Midtjylland	14	9	5	0	29	17	+12	32

Where the two sides stand. Full table

What's at stake

Brondby

Chance to finish in the top six · 87% today

Win 95%

Draw 90%

Defeat 83%

FC Midtjylland

Chance to finish top of the regular season · 48% today

Win 57%

Draw 45%

Defeat 35%

From our Superliga season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. How to read this.

Head-to-head: Brondby vs FC Midtjylland

14 September 2026FC Midtjylland 4–1 BrondbySuperliga
17 May 2026FC Midtjylland 2–3 BrondbySuperliga
12 April 2026Brondby 1–2 FC MidtjyllandSuperliga
1 March 2026FC Midtjylland 0–0 BrondbySuperliga
31 August 2025Brondby 1–3 FC MidtjyllandSuperliga
19 May 2025Brondby 1–2 FC MidtjyllandSuperliga

Leading scorers: Brondby and FC Midtjylland

Brondby

GoalsAssists

M. Frøkjær-Jensen51
O. Hyseni43

FC Midtjylland

GoalsAssists

F. Etim63

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The rest of the season

Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Brondby a 0.1% chance of the title and FC Midtjylland 48.2%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Brondby FC Midtjylland

0.75 Attack strength (vs league average) 1.03

1.17 Defence strength (vs league average, lower = stronger) 1.05

1.38 Model expected goals (this match) 1.82

Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives FC Midtjylland the highest probability at 45%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.38 expected goals for Brondby against 1.82 for FC Midtjylland. Brondby's attack/defence rating is 0.75/1.17 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 1.03/1.05 for FC Midtjylland.

Brondby carry a model rating of 6.63 against 6.84 for FC Midtjylland.

How the model reaches 45% for FC Midtjylland to win

Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 37% for FC Midtjylland to win. Then home advantage takes away 4 points, Brondby's ratings add 5 points and FC Midtjylland's ratings add 7 points, which lands on the published 45%.

Two average sides, neutral ground37%
Home advantage33%−4
Brondby's ratings38%+5
FC Midtjylland's ratings45%+7

Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.

Goal trends

BrondbyModelFC Midtjylland

Over 1.5 goals

80%

8 of 10 games

83%

model, this match

100%

10 of 10 games

Over 2.5 goals

70%

7 of 10 games

62%

model, this match

70%

7 of 10 games

Over 3.5 goals

50%

5 of 10 games

40%

model, this match

50%

5 of 10 games

Both teams score

60%

6 of 10 games

63%

model, this match

90%

9 of 10 games

Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.

Season stats

BrondbyFC Midtjylland

14Matches14

7W 1D 6LRecord9W 5D 0L

23 1.6 per gameGoals scored29 2.1 per game

21 1.5 per gameGoals conceded17 1.2 per game

3 of 14Clean sheets2 of 14

3 of 14Failed to score0 of 14

1 of 1Penalties scored1 of 1

30 2.1 per gameYellow cards24 1.7 per game

1Red cards2

4-2-3-1 14×Usual shape3-4-1-2 6×

Brondby at home · FC Midtjylland away

7Played7

5W 0D 2LRecord4W 3D 0L

14–9Goals for – against13–8

2 of 7Clean sheets1 of 7

League matches only, Superliga, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.

Position by match

BrondbyFC Midtjylland

Brondby are 5th after 14 Superliga matches (between 1st and 5th so far); FC Midtjylland are 2nd after 14 (between 1st and 3rd). How to read this.

Goals scored and conceded, by minute

All Superliga matches this season: Brondby 14, FC Midtjylland 14.

Brondby scored 245525

FC Midtjylland conceded 323452

FC Midtjylland scored 443573

Brondby conceded 332355

FC Midtjylland score most often in the 61–75 minute window (7 goals); Brondby have let in 5 there.

League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.

The next 5 matches, by difficulty

Brondby

at Sonderjyske27 Nov · Superligawin 45%
vs Odense6 Dec · Superligawin 46%
at Lyngby21 Feb · Superligawin 46%
vs FC Nordsjaelland28 Feb · Superligawin 37%
at Silkeborg7 Mar · Superligawin 46%

FC Midtjylland

at Pafos26 Nov · UEFA Europa Conference Leaguewin 31%
at FC Copenhagen29 Nov · Superligawin 33%
vs Silkeborg6 Dec · Superligawin 69%
vs HNK Hajduk Split17 Dec · UEFA Europa Conference Leaguewin 54%
vs Odense21 Feb · Superligawin 60%

Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.