Sonderjyske
vs
Odense
Superliga prediction
Our model says: Sonderjyske 1–2 Odense
The model makes it 36% Sonderjyske, 26% draw, 38% Odense — fair odds of 2.78, 3.85 and 2.63.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
Expected goals: Sonderjyske 1.56, Odense 1.63.
Both teams to score: 64%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%, under 2.5: 38%.
Model confidence: Low — calls at this level have come off 38% of the time, over 1,304 settled matches.
A tight game: Sonderjyske and Odense are within 3 points of each other, so the draw is a real outcome here.
Published · updated
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 11 November 2026. Sonderjyske's rating is built from 46 Danish Superliga matches and Odense's from 46, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 470 matches.
Key facts
- Sonderjyske are bottom on 9 points from 14 games; Odense are 6th on 17 points from 14 games — Superliga.
- Sonderjyske are without a win in 3 games, most recently a 2-2 draw away to FC Midtjylland.
- Odense have won 2 of their last 5 games, most recently a 1-2 defeat at home to Viborg.
- Last 6 meetings: Odense 3 wins to 2, 1 draw; the most recent, 3 August 2026, ended Odense 1–0 Sonderjyske.
More Danish Superliga predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Sonderjyske vs Odense
Has the model earned this number?
Odense at 38%: of 4,756 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.3% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Sonderjyske vs Odense
Sonderjyske
Superliga
- D2-2away to FC Midtjylland8 November 2026
- L0-2FC Copenhagen2 November 2026
- L1-5away to AC Horsens25 October 2026
- W4-0Silkeborg18 October 2026
- L0-3away to Aarhus12 October 2026
Odense
Superliga
- L1-2Viborg7 November 2026
- W4-1Silkeborg1 November 2026
- D1-1away to FC Copenhagen26 October 2026
- W2-1Brondby18 October 2026
- D0-0away to FC Nordsjaelland9 October 2026
What these results say
- Sonderjyske failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Sonderjyske conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Sonderjyske had three goals or more.
- Odense scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Odense conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Both sides scored in 4 of these 5 matches for Odense.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Superliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Sonderjyske | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 9 |
| 6 | Odense | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 17 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
Sonderjyske
Chance to finish in the bottom three · 78% today
Odense
Chance to finish in the top six · 36% today
From our Superliga season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. How to read this.
Head-to-head: Sonderjyske vs Odense
- 3 August 2026Odense 1–0 SonderjyskeSuperliga
- 1 March 2026Sonderjyske 1–0 OdenseSuperliga
- 3 October 2025Odense 1–1 SonderjyskeSuperliga
- 27 June 2025Odense 0–2 SonderjyskeFriendlies Clubs
- 19 March 2025Odense 1–0 SonderjyskeFriendlies Clubs
- 10 January 2025Sonderjyske 2–3 OdenseFriendlies Clubs
Leading scorers: Sonderjyske and Odense
Sonderjyske
GoalsAssists
- M. Haidara50
Odense
GoalsAssists
- N. Ganaus40
- J. Arp40
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Odense the highest probability at 38%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.56 expected goals for Sonderjyske against 1.63 for Odense. Sonderjyske's attack/defence rating is 0.7/1.64 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.66/1.27 for Odense.
How the model reaches 38% for Odense to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 37% for Odense to win. Then home advantage takes away 4 points, Sonderjyske's ratings add 3 points and Odense's ratings add 2 points, which lands on the published 38%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground37%
- Home advantage33%−4
- Sonderjyske's ratings36%+3
- Odense's ratings38%+2
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
Sonderjyske at home · Odense away
League matches only, Superliga, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Position by match
SonderjyskeOdense
Sonderjyske are 12th after 14 Superliga matches (between 11th and 12th so far); Odense are 6th after 14 (between 5th and 12th). How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Superliga matches this season: Sonderjyske 14, Odense 14.
Sonderjyske score most often in the 16–30 minute window (5 goals); Odense have let in 4 there.
Odense score most often in the 61–75 minute window (4 goals); Sonderjyske have let in 4 there.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.
The next 5 matches, by difficulty
Sonderjyske
- vs Brondby27 Nov · Superligawin 30%
- at Viborg7 Dec · Superligawin 21%
- vs Aarhus21 Feb · Superligawin 28%
- at Randers FC28 Feb · Superligawin 40%
- at FC Nordsjaelland7 Mar · Superligawin 19%
Odense
- vs FC Nordsjaelland30 Nov · Superligawin 31%
- at Brondby6 Dec · Superligawin 27%
- at FC Midtjylland21 Feb · Superligawin 18%
- vs Lyngby28 Feb · Superligawin 48%
- vs Aarhus7 Mar · Superligawin 33%
Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.