Regular Season - 15 · 22 November 2026, 13:00 UTC

AC Horsens vs Silkeborg Superliga prediction

Hybel Arena Horsens, Horsens

Our model says: AC Horsens 2–1 Silkeborg

The model makes it 52% AC Horsens, 23% draw, 25% Silkeborg — fair odds of 1.92, 4.35 and 4.00.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1 (9%).

Expected goals: AC Horsens 2.19, Silkeborg 1.35.

Both teams to score: 66%. Over 2.5 goals: 69%, under 2.5: 31%.

Model confidence: High — calls at this level have come off 61% of the time, over 2,123 settled matches.

Edge to AC Horsens: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.

Published 8 November 2026 · updated 11 November 2026

Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 11 November 2026. AC Horsens's rating is built from 14 Danish Superliga matches and Silkeborg's from 46, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 470 matches.

Key facts

AC Horsens are 7th on 16 points from 14 games; Silkeborg are 9th on 15 points from 14 games — Superliga.
AC Horsens have won 1 of their last 5 games, most recently a 0-2 defeat away to Aarhus.
Silkeborg have won 1 of their last 5 games, most recently a 1-0 win at home to Lyngby.
Last 6 meetings: AC Horsens 3 wins to 2, 1 draw; the most recent, 11 October 2026, ended Silkeborg 3–3 AC Horsens.

More Danish Superliga predictions

All Danish Superliga predictions →

Live win probability

From kick-off

From kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.

Model insights: AC Horsens vs Silkeborg

66%

Both teams to score

69%

Over 2.5 goals

31%

Under 2.5 goals

Most likely scorelines

AC Horsens win Draw Silkeborg win

2–19%
1–19%
2–07%
3–17%
2–26%
1–06%
1–26%

Scores read AC Horsens first; the other scorelines share the remaining 50%. How to read this.

Has the model earned this number?

AC Horsens at 52%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

Form going into AC Horsens vs Silkeborg

AC Horsens

Superliga

L0-2away to Aarhus8 November 2026
L0-1away to Viborg1 November 2026
W5-1Sonderjyske25 October 2026
D0-0Randers FC16 October 2026
D3-3away to Silkeborg11 October 2026

Silkeborg

Superliga

W1-0Lyngby6 November 2026
L1-4away to Odense1 November 2026
D1-1FC Nordsjaelland25 October 2026
L0-4away to Sonderjyske18 October 2026
D3-3AC Horsens11 October 2026

What these results say

AC Horsens failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
AC Horsens conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Silkeborg failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
Silkeborg scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
Silkeborg conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Superliga table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
7	AC Horsens	14	4	4	6	23	23	0	16
9	Silkeborg	14	3	6	5	18	24	-6	15

Where the two sides stand. Full table

What's at stake

AC Horsens

Chance to finish in the top six · 34% today

Win 43%

Draw 27%

Defeat 20%

Silkeborg

Chance to finish in the bottom three · 34% today

Win 17%

Draw 30%

Defeat 43%

From our Superliga season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. How to read this.

Head-to-head: AC Horsens vs Silkeborg

11 October 2026Silkeborg 3–3 AC HorsensSuperliga
19 May 2023AC Horsens 0–1 SilkeborgSuperliga
11 April 2023Silkeborg 1–2 AC HorsensSuperliga
23 October 2022AC Horsens 3–2 SilkeborgSuperliga
2 October 2022Silkeborg 2–1 AC HorsensSuperliga
23 September 2021AC Horsens 3–2 SilkeborgDBU Pokalen

Leading scorers: AC Horsens and Silkeborg

AC Horsens

GoalsAssists

K. Ehibhatiomhan40

Silkeborg

GoalsAssists

O. Ross72

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

How the call on AC Horsens v Silkeborg has moved

First published on 8 Nov at 55% / 22% / 23% (home / draw / away). After 1 update it reads 52% / 23% / 25%: the biggest move is AC Horsens's chance of winning, down 3 points.

AC Horsens win52%▼ −3
Draw23%▲ +1
Silkeborg win25%▲ +2

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

AC Horsens Silkeborg

0.78 Attack strength (vs league average) 0.65

1.38 Defence strength (vs league average, lower = stronger) 1.6

2.19 Model expected goals (this match) 1.35

Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives AC Horsens the highest probability at 52%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.19 expected goals for AC Horsens against 1.35 for Silkeborg. AC Horsens's attack/defence rating is 0.78/1.38 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.65/1.6 for Silkeborg.

How the model reaches 52% for AC Horsens to win

Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 37% for AC Horsens to win. Then home advantage adds 5 points, AC Horsens's ratings add 5 points and Silkeborg's ratings add 5 points, which lands on the published 52%.

Two average sides, neutral ground37%
Home advantage42%+5
AC Horsens's ratings47%+5
Silkeborg's ratings52%+5

Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.

Goal trends

AC HorsensModelSilkeborg

Over 1.5 goals

80%

8 of 10 games

87%

model, this match

90%

9 of 10 games

Over 2.5 goals

60%

6 of 10 games

69%

model, this match

60%

6 of 10 games

Over 3.5 goals

50%

5 of 10 games

47%

model, this match

60%

6 of 10 games

Both teams score

60%

6 of 10 games

66%

model, this match

70%

7 of 10 games

Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.

Season stats

AC HorsensSilkeborg

14Matches14

4W 4D 6LRecord3W 6D 5L

23 1.6 per gameGoals scored18 1.3 per game

23 1.6 per gameGoals conceded24 1.7 per game

1 of 14Clean sheets3 of 14

5 of 14Failed to score2 of 14

1 of 1Penalties scored2 of 2

32 2.3 per gameYellow cards24 1.7 per game

0Red cards1

4-2-3-1 5×Usual shape3-4-2-1 14×

AC Horsens at home · Silkeborg away

7Played7

2W 3D 2LRecord1W 2D 4L

12–10Goals for – against9–15

1 of 7Clean sheets1 of 7

League matches only, Superliga, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.

Position by match

AC HorsensSilkeborg

AC Horsens are 7th after 14 Superliga matches (between 5th and 12th so far); Silkeborg are 9th after 14 (between 6th and 10th). How to read this.

Goals scored and conceded, by minute

All Superliga matches this season: AC Horsens 14, Silkeborg 14.

AC Horsens scored 433435

Silkeborg conceded 324545

AC Horsens score most often in the 76–90 minute window (5 goals); Silkeborg have let in 5 there.

Silkeborg scored 235431

AC Horsens conceded 315553

Silkeborg score most often in the 31–45 minute window (5 goals); AC Horsens have let in 5 there.

League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.

The next 5 matches, by difficulty

AC Horsens

at Randers FC29 Nov · Superligawin 48%
vs FC Copenhagen6 Dec · Superligawin 27%
at FC Nordsjaelland21 Feb · Superligawin 26%
vs FC Midtjylland28 Feb · Superligawin 27%
at Lyngby7 Mar · Superligawin 43%

Silkeborg

vs Aarhus29 Nov · Superligawin 27%
at FC Midtjylland6 Dec · Superligawin 13%
vs Randers FC21 Feb · Superligawin 46%
at Viborg28 Feb · Superligawin 20%
vs Brondby7 Mar · Superligawin 29%

Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.