Viborg
vs
Randers FC
Superliga prediction
Our model says: Viborg 2–0 Randers FC
The model makes it 60% Viborg, 23% draw, 17% Randers FC — fair odds of 1.67, 4.35 and 5.88.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0 (11%).
Expected goals: Viborg 2.11, Randers FC 0.86.
Both teams to score: 51%. Over 2.5 goals: 57%, under 2.5: 43%.
Model confidence: High — calls at this level have come off 61% of the time, over 2,123 settled matches.
One-sided: Viborg are clearly the stronger team on the model's ratings. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 68%, 20% were drawn and the underdog won 12%.
Published · updated
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 11 November 2026. Viborg's rating is built from 46 Danish Superliga matches and Randers FC's from 46, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 470 matches.
Key facts
- Viborg are 3rd on 26 points from 14 games; Randers FC are 11th on 11 points from 14 games — Superliga.
- Viborg have won 3 of their last 5 games, most recently a 2-1 win away to Odense.
- Randers FC have not won in their last 5 games, most recently a 1-6 defeat at home to FC Nordsjaelland.
- Last 6 meetings: Randers FC 4 wins to 2, 0 draws; the most recent, 11 October 2026, ended Randers FC 0–2 Viborg.
More Danish Superliga predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Viborg vs Randers FC
Has the model earned this number?
Viborg at 60%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Viborg vs Randers FC
Viborg
Superliga
- W2-1away to Odense7 November 2026
- W1-0AC Horsens1 November 2026
- L1-2away to Aarhus25 October 2026
- L1-2FC Midtjylland19 October 2026
- W2-0away to Randers FC11 October 2026
Randers FC
Superliga
- L1-6FC Nordsjaelland8 November 2026
- L1-2away to Lyngby30 October 2026
- L1-3Brondby23 October 2026
- D0-0away to AC Horsens16 October 2026
- L0-2Viborg11 October 2026
What these results say
- Viborg scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Randers FC did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Randers FC conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Superliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Viborg | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 13 | +9 | 26 |
| 11 | Randers FC | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 11 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
Randers FC
Chance to finish in the bottom three · 87% today
From our Superliga season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. How to read this.
Head-to-head: Viborg vs Randers FC
- 11 October 2026Randers FC 0–2 ViborgSuperliga
- 13 January 2026Randers FC 2–0 ViborgFriendlies Clubs
- 2 November 2025Viborg 3–2 Randers FCSuperliga
- 5 October 2025Randers FC 2–1 ViborgSuperliga
- 1 December 2024Viborg 1–2 Randers FCSuperliga
- 28 July 2024Randers FC 3–1 ViborgSuperliga
Leading scorers: Viborg and Randers FC
Viborg
GoalsAssists
- Dorian Hanza61
- M. Søndergaard43
- C. Nouck33
Randers FC
GoalsAssists
- M. Themsen51
- M. Sankoh41
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Viborg a 2.6% chance of the title and Randers FC 0%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
How the call on Viborg v Randers FC has moved
First published on 8 Nov at 56% / 25% / 19% (home / draw / away). After 1 update it reads 60% / 23% / 17%: the biggest move is Viborg's chance of winning, up 4 points.
- Viborg win60%▲ +4
- Draw23%▼ −2
- Randers FC win17%▼ −2
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Viborg the highest probability at 60%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.11 expected goals for Viborg against 0.86 for Randers FC. Viborg's attack/defence rating is 0.76/1.08 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.53/1.58 for Randers FC.
How the model reaches 60% for Viborg to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 37% for Viborg to win. Then home advantage adds 5 points, the level of the two sides takes away 2 points, Viborg's ratings add 10 points and Randers FC's ratings add 10 points, which lands on the published 60%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground37%
- Home advantage42%+5
- Both sides at this match's level40%−2
- Viborg's ratings50%+10
- Randers FC's ratings60%+10
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
Viborg at home · Randers FC away
League matches only, Superliga, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Position by match
ViborgRanders FC
Viborg are 3rd after 14 Superliga matches (between 1st and 5th so far); Randers FC are 11th after 14 (between 3rd and 11th). How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Superliga matches this season: Viborg 14, Randers FC 14.
Randers FC score most often in the 46–60 minute window (4 goals); Viborg have let in 3 there.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.
The next 5 matches, by difficulty
Viborg
- at Lyngby29 Nov · Superligawin 48%
- vs Sonderjyske7 Dec · Superligawin 56%
- at FC Copenhagen21 Feb · Superligawin 25%
- vs Silkeborg28 Feb · Superligawin 57%
- at FC Midtjylland7 Mar · Superligawin 24%
Randers FC
- vs AC Horsens29 Nov · Superligawin 27%
- at Aarhus5 Dec · Superligawin 17%
- at Silkeborg21 Feb · Superligawin 28%
- vs Sonderjyske28 Feb · Superligawin 34%
- at FC Copenhagen7 Mar · Superligawin 11%
Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.