FC Nordsjaelland
vs
FC Copenhagen
Superliga prediction
Our model says: FC Nordsjaelland 1–2 FC Copenhagen
The model makes it 34% FC Nordsjaelland, 26% draw, 40% FC Copenhagen — fair odds of 2.94, 3.85 and 2.50.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
Expected goals: FC Nordsjaelland 1.47, FC Copenhagen 1.63.
Both teams to score: 62%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%, under 2.5: 40%.
Model confidence: Medium — calls at this level have come off 46% of the time, over 2,919 settled matches.
Edge to FC Copenhagen: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.
Published
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 11 November 2026. FC Nordsjaelland's rating is built from 46 Danish Superliga matches and FC Copenhagen's from 47, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 470 matches.
Key facts
- FC Nordsjaelland are 4th on 23 points from 14 games; FC Copenhagen are top on 32 points from 14 games — Superliga.
- FC Nordsjaelland have won 1 of their last 5 games, most recently a 6-1 win away to Randers FC.
- FC Copenhagen are unbeaten in 4 games, most recently a 1-0 win at home to Brondby.
- Last 6 meetings: FC Copenhagen 5 wins to 1, 0 draws; the most recent, 3 September 2026, ended FC Copenhagen 2–0 FC Nordsjaelland.
More Danish Superliga predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: FC Nordsjaelland vs FC Copenhagen
Has the model earned this number?
FC Copenhagen at 40%: of 2,924 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.0% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into FC Nordsjaelland vs FC Copenhagen
FC Nordsjaelland
Superliga
- W6-1away to Randers FC8 November 2026
- L2-3FC Midtjylland1 November 2026
- D1-1away to Silkeborg25 October 2026
- D3-3away to Lyngby18 October 2026
- D0-0Odense9 October 2026
FC Copenhagen
Superliga
- W1-0Brondby8 November 2026
- W2-0away to Sonderjyske2 November 2026
- D1-1Odense26 October 2026
- D1-1Aarhus18 October 2026
- L1-2away to FC Midtjylland11 October 2026
What these results say
- FC Nordsjaelland failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- FC Nordsjaelland scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- FC Nordsjaelland conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- FC Copenhagen scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for FC Copenhagen had two goals or fewer.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Superliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | FC Nordsjaelland | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 18 | +8 | 23 |
| 1 | FC Copenhagen | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 29 | 12 | +17 | 32 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
FC Nordsjaelland
Chance to finish in the top six · 96% today
FC Copenhagen
Chance to finish top of the regular season · 49% today
From our Superliga season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. How to read this.
Head-to-head: FC Copenhagen vs FC Nordsjaelland
FC Copenhagen and FC Nordsjaelland have met 6 times in the records we hold, FC Copenhagen has won 5 of them to FC Nordsjaelland's 1.
The record
FC Copenhagen won the last one 2–0 on 3 Sep 2026.
| Club | W | D | L | GF | GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Copenhagen | 5 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 4 |
| FC Nordsjaelland | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 13 |
Between them these 6 meetings produced 17 goals, an average of 2.83 a game.
Every meeting
Every recorded meeting, newest first.
- 3 Sep 2026
SuperligaFC Copenhagen 2–0 FC Nordsjaelland - 14 Feb 2026
SuperligaFC Copenhagen 1–2 FC Nordsjaelland - 15 Aug 2025
SuperligaFC Nordsjaelland 1–3 FC Copenhagen - 25 May 2025
SuperligaFC Copenhagen 3–0 FC Nordsjaelland - 6 Apr 2025
SuperligaFC Nordsjaelland 0–1 FC Copenhagen - 2 Dec 2024
SuperligaFC Copenhagen 3–1 FC Nordsjaelland
How the model rates them now
On the current ratings, FC Copenhagen's attack rates 7% above FC Nordsjaelland's, and FC Copenhagen concede 17% fewer than FC Nordsjaelland. That gives FC Copenhagen the edge at both ends. How the ratings are derived.
| Club | Attack | Defence |
|---|---|---|
| FC Copenhagen | 0.93 | 0.96 |
| FC Nordsjaelland | 0.87 | 1.16 |
Leading scorers: FC Nordsjaelland and FC Copenhagen
FC Nordsjaelland
GoalsAssists
- A. Lind63
- Ibrahim Adel43
- H. Boe Rasmussen42
FC Copenhagen
GoalsAssists
- M. Elyounoussi72
- B. Meling51
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives FC Nordsjaelland a 0.7% chance of the title and FC Copenhagen 48.5%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
How the call on FC Nordsjaelland v FC Copenhagen has moved
First published on 8 Nov at 31% / 26% / 43% (home / draw / away). After 1 update it reads 34% / 26% / 40%: the biggest move is FC Nordsjaelland's chance of winning, up 3 points.
- FC Nordsjaelland win34%▲ +3
- Draw26%=
- FC Copenhagen win40%▼ −3
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives FC Copenhagen the highest probability at 40%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.47 expected goals for FC Nordsjaelland against 1.63 for FC Copenhagen. FC Nordsjaelland's attack/defence rating is 0.87/1.16 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.93/0.96 for FC Copenhagen.
How the model reaches 40% for FC Copenhagen to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 37% for FC Copenhagen to win. Then home advantage takes away 4 points, FC Nordsjaelland's ratings add 3 points and FC Copenhagen's ratings add 4 points, which lands on the published 40%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground37%
- Home advantage33%−4
- FC Nordsjaelland's ratings36%+3
- FC Copenhagen's ratings40%+4
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
FC Nordsjaelland at home · FC Copenhagen away
League matches only, Superliga, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Position by match
FC NordsjaellandFC Copenhagen
FC Nordsjaelland are 4th after 14 Superliga matches (between 1st and 7th so far); FC Copenhagen are 1st after 14 (between 1st and 5th). How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Superliga matches this season: FC Nordsjaelland 14, FC Copenhagen 14.
FC Nordsjaelland score most often in the 76–90 minute window (8 goals); FC Copenhagen have let in 0 there.
FC Copenhagen score most often in the 31–45 minute window (7 goals); FC Nordsjaelland have let in 6 there.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.
The next 5 matches, by difficulty
FC Nordsjaelland
- vs Panathinaikos26 Nov · UEFA Europa Conference Leaguewin 27%
- at Odense30 Nov · Superligawin 43%
- vs Lyngby6 Dec · Superligawin 61%
- at HNK Hajduk Split10 Dec · UEFA Europa Conference Leaguewin 28%
- vs KuPS17 Dec · UEFA Europa Conference Leaguewin 65%
FC Copenhagen
- vs FC Midtjylland29 Nov · Superligawin 41%
- at AC Horsens6 Dec · Superligawin 48%
- vs FC Lugano10 Dec · UEFA Europa Conference Leaguewin 48%
- at Universitatea Craiova17 Dec · UEFA Europa Conference Leaguewin 26%
- vs Viborg21 Feb · Superligawin 49%
Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.