CSKA 1948 vs Panathinaikos UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result
Final score: CSKA 1948 1-2 Panathinaikos.
Before kick-off the model made it 68% CSKA 1948, 19% draw, 13% Panathinaikos — fair odds of 1.47, 5.26 and 7.69.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
The tie
Second leg of the UEFA Europa Conference League 3rd Qualifying Round tie. First leg: Panathinaikos 1–1 CSKA 1948 (5 Aug) →
Panathinaikos went through 3–2 on aggregate.
All Conference League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
CSKA 1948 at 68%: of 501 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.5% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — CSKA 1948 vs Panathinaikos
Line-ups
- 1P. MarinovG
- 2D. MedinaD
- 4A. HoffmannD
- 3L. DvaliD
- 22O. GasevicD
- 67FredericM
- 33H. CuellarM
- 8M. ZemzemiM
- 30J. MeyerM
- 11G. RusevF
- 9A. IlievF
- 13D. SheytanovG
- 31A. BozhevG
- 34P. VitanovM
- 6E. ParkhomenkoD
- 15F. SoltaniD
- 96D. GrivicD
- 23F. KrebsM
- 77E. FrancoF
- 20B. Sobrero
- 1I. PenaG
- 3G. Katris
- 6S. de VrijD
- 55R. Van DrongelenD
- 11A. ZarouryM
- 4P. ChirivellaM
- 22E. CamaraM
- 77G. KyriakopoulosM
- 99L. GarciaF
- 10S. AndinoF
- 74E. RastoderF
- 12L. ChavesG
- 70K. Kotsaris
- 5A. ToubaD
- 20V. TabordaF
- 7A. Tetteh
- 30G. KyriopoulosF
- 18S. KontourisM
- 9C. DessersF
- 16A. Gnezda CerinM
Form going into CSKA 1948 vs Panathinaikos
CSKA 1948
All competitions we cover
- W3-1away to Lokomotiv Sofia8 August 2026
- D1-1away to Panathinaikos5 August 2026
- W2-1Arda Kardzhali31 July 2026
- D0-0Spartak Trnava28 July 2026
- W2-1Botev Vratsa25 July 2026
Panathinaikos
All competitions we cover
- D1-1CSKA 19485 August 2026
- D2-2Paks30 July 2026
- W2-1away to Paks23 July 2026
What these results say
- CSKA 1948 went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- CSKA 1948 scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- CSKA 1948 conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
CSKA 1948 and Panathinaikos in their domestic leagues
| # | Team | League | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | CSKA 1948 | First League | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 33 | 16 | +17 | 29 |
| 2 | Panathinaikos | UEFA Europa Conference League | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | +6 | 9 |
Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: First League · UEFA Europa Conference League
Head-to-head: CSKA 1948 vs Panathinaikos
- 5 August 2026Panathinaikos 1–1 CSKA 1948UEFA Europa Conference League
- 5 July 2023CSKA 1948 0–1 PanathinaikosFriendlies Clubs
- 5 July 2023Panathinaikos 1–0 CSKA 1948Friendlies Clubs
Leading scorers: CSKA 1948 and Panathinaikos
CSKA 1948
GoalsAssists
- Frédéric Maciel30
- Elias Franco20
- A. Iliev10
Panathinaikos
GoalsAssists
- C. Dessers60
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Panathinaikos won 2–1 at CSKA 1948. The model had leaned towards a win for CSKA 1948 at 68% and given a win for Panathinaikos 13%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 8 matches like this one. The goals: L. Garcia 60' for Panathinaikos, L. Dvali 87' for CSKA 1948, C. Dessers 94' for Panathinaikos.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.