Apollon Limassol vs Brann UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result
Final score: Apollon Limassol 2-4 Brann.
Before kick-off the model made it 42% Apollon Limassol, 25% draw, 33% Brann — fair odds of 2.38, 4.00 and 3.03.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
The tie
Second leg of the UEFA Europa Conference League 3rd Qualifying Round tie. First leg: Brann 0–1 Apollon Limassol (5 Aug) →
Brann went through 4–3 on aggregate.
All Conference League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Apollon Limassol at 42%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 6 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Apollon Limassol vs Brann
Line-ups
- 22P. KuhnG
- 76B. GasparD
- 37L. KonomisD
- 44J. KvidaD
- 14G. MalekkidisD
- 5M. BrownM
- 77I. LjubicM
- 30D. EscricheF
- 27G. WeissbeckM
- 23B. ThomasM
- 9A. OzboltF
- 41P. LeeuwenburghG
- 4E. AiwuD
- 11E. AndreouM
- 12G. AssuncaoM
- 17C. DuoduM
- 18A. AthanasiouM
- 19N. ZinonosD
- 20D. SpoljaricM
- 26A. ShikkisD
- 1M. DyngelandG
- 21D. De RoeveD
- 3F. KnudsenD
- 23T. PedersenD
- 17J. SoltvedtD
- 19E. GudmundssonM
- 18J. SorensenM
- 25N. WassbergM
- 10K. M. IngasonM
- 16K. EriksenM
- 9N. CastroF
- 12S. NilsenG
- 36H. M. HellesoyG
- 6D. MbackeD
- 11B. FinneF
- 20V. DragsnesD
- 22S. MagnussonF
- 29N. HolmF
- 32M. HaalandM
Form going into Apollon Limassol vs Brann
Apollon Limassol
All competitions we cover
- W1-0away to Brann5 August 2026
- W3-0Dila28 July 2026
- W4-0away to Dila23 July 2026
Brann
All competitions we cover
- L0-1Apollon Limassol5 August 2026
- W3-2Rosenborg2 August 2026
- W3-1Universitatea Cluj30 July 2026
- L2-3Valerenga26 July 2026
- D2-2away to Universitatea Cluj23 July 2026
What these results say
- Brann conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Brann scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Brann had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Apollon Limassol and Brann in their domestic leagues
| # | Team | League | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Apollon Limassol | 1. Division | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 21 | 11 | +10 | 16 |
| 6 | Brann | UEFA Europa Conference League | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 7 |
Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: Cyprus 1. Division · UEFA Europa Conference League
Head-to-head: Apollon Limassol vs Brann
- 5 August 2026Brann 0–1 Apollon LimassolUEFA Europa Conference League
Leading scorers: Apollon Limassol and Brann
Apollon Limassol
GoalsAssists
- Brandon Thomas41
- A. Ožbolt40
- Garry Rodrigues24
Brann
GoalsAssists
- N. Holm30
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Brann won 4–2 at Apollon Limassol. The model had leaned towards a win for Apollon Limassol at 42% and given a win for Brann 33%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: K. M. Ingason 16' for Brann, I. Ljubic 86' for Apollon Limassol, N. Holm 90' for Brann, G. Weissbeck 92' for Apollon Limassol, N. Holm 95' for Brann, K. Eriksen 105' for Brann. Sent off: Kristall Máni Ingason (Brann) 118'.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.