Slovácko
vs
Teplice
Czech Liga prediction
Our model says: Slovácko 0–1 Teplice
The model makes it 32% Slovácko, 28% draw, 40% Teplice — fair odds of 3.13, 3.57 and 2.50. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
Expected goals: Slovácko 1.25, Teplice 1.44.
Both teams to score: 55%. Over 2.5 goals: 50%, under 2.5: 50%.
Model confidence: Medium.
Edge to Teplice: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.
Published · updated
Key facts
- Slovácko are 15th on 7 points from 10 games; Teplice are 6th on 17 points from 11 games — Czech Liga.
- Slovácko have won 1 of their last 5 games, most recently a 2-0 win away to Slovan Liberec.
- Teplice have won 2 of their last 5 games, most recently a 0-1 defeat away to Mlada Boleslav.
- Last 6 meetings: Teplice 4 wins to 1, 1 draw; the most recent, 3 May 2026, ended Teplice 1–1 Slovácko.
More Czech Liga predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Slovácko vs Teplice
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Teplice at 40% here. Across 4,088 settled matches (as of 18 October 2026), 1,906 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.7% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Slovácko vs Teplice
Slovácko
- W2-0away to Slovan Liberec11 October 2026
- D2-2Baník Ostrava19 September 2026
- L0-2away to Bohemians 190512 September 2026
- D0-0Pardubice5 September 2026
- D1-1away to Plzen30 August 2026
Teplice
- L0-1away to Mlada Boleslav17 October 2026
- D1-1Sigma Olomouc11 October 2026
- W2-0away to Hradec Králové20 September 2026
- L0-2Slavia Praha13 September 2026
- W3-1away to Zlin6 September 2026
What these results say
- Slovácko failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Slovácko had two goals or fewer.
- Teplice conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Teplice had two goals or fewer.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Czech Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Slovácko | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 7 |
| 6 | Teplice | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 17 | +1 | 17 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
Slovácko
Chance to finish in the bottom three · 48% today
Teplice
Chance to finish in the top four · 21% today
From our Czech Liga season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. Each figure is that side's chance once this match ends in a win, a draw or a defeat for it, with every other match still left to the model. Positions in the table, not competition rules: what a place is worth differs from league to league.
Head-to-head: Slovácko vs Teplice
- 3 May 2026Teplice 1–1 SlováckoCzech Liga
- 13 December 2025Teplice 1–0 SlováckoCzech Liga
- 16 August 2025Slovácko 2–1 TepliceCzech Liga
- 11 May 2025Teplice 1–0 SlováckoCzech Liga
- 15 March 2025Teplice 1–0 SlováckoCzech Liga
- 20 October 2024Slovácko 0–2 TepliceCzech Liga
Leading scorers: Slovácko and Teplice
Slovácko
No player in Czech Liga's leading scorers — 9 league goals as a side.
Teplice
GoalsAssists
- John Auta40
- M. Pulkrab31
- L. Mareček31
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
The two sides
Slovácko carry a model rating of 6.51 against 6.67 for Teplice. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.25 goals for Slovácko and 1.44 for Teplice. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Slovácko rate 0.68 in attack and 1.34 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Teplice rate 0.85 and 1.21.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Slovácko a 0% chance of the title and Teplice 0.1%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,962 correct results out of 4,088 settled predictions (48%), with 410 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Once the match starts, the win probabilities at the top update live from the score, the clock and any sendings-off.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Teplice the highest probability at 40%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.25 expected goals for Slovácko against 1.44 for Teplice. Slovácko's attack/defence rating is 0.68/1.34 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.85/1.21 for Teplice.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
Slovácko at home · Teplice away
League matches only, Czech Liga, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Czech Liga matches this season: Slovácko 10, Teplice 11.
Slovácko score most often in the 76–90 minute window (4 goals); Teplice have let in 2 there.
Teplice score most often in the 76–90 minute window (6 goals); Slovácko have let in 4 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 4 matches, by difficulty
Slovácko
- at Zlin7 Nov · Czech Ligawin 39%
- vs Hradec Králové22 Nov · Czech Ligawin 32%
- at Artis27 Nov · Czech Ligawin 37%
Teplice
- vs Pardubice8 Nov · Czech Ligawin 45%
- at Baník Ostrava21 Nov · Czech Ligawin 42%
- vs Slovan Liberec28 Nov · Czech Ligawin 37%
- at Plzen6 Dec · Czech Ligawin 23%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.