Gyori ETO FC
vs
Vasas
NB I prediction
Our model says: Gyori ETO FC 2–1 Vasas
The model makes it 48% Gyori ETO FC, 26% draw, 26% Vasas — fair odds of 2.08, 3.85 and 3.85. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
Expected goals: Gyori ETO FC 1.79, Vasas 1.19.
Both teams to score: 59%. Over 2.5 goals: 57%, under 2.5: 43%.
Model confidence: Medium.
Evenly matched: once home advantage is counted, neither side has a clear edge. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 41%, 28% were drawn and the underdog won 31%.
Published · updated
Key facts
- Gyori ETO FC are top on 18 points from 10 games; Vasas are 3rd on 15 points from 10 games — NB I.
- Gyori ETO FC have won 3 of their last 5 games, most recently a 2-1 win away to Paks.
- Vasas have won 2 of their last 5 games, most recently a 0-1 defeat away to MTK Budapest.
- Last 6 meetings: Vasas 3 wins to 2, 1 draw; the most recent, 26 July 2026, ended Vasas 2–2 Gyori ETO FC.
More Hungarian NB I predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Gyori ETO FC vs Vasas
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Gyori ETO FC at 48% here. Across 4,088 settled matches (as of 18 October 2026), 1,906 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.7% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Gyori ETO FC vs Vasas
Gyori ETO FC
- W2-1away to Paks17 October 2026
- L0-1Puskas Academy11 October 2026
- W2-1away to MTK Budapest20 September 2026
- W3-2Budapest Honved6 September 2026
- L0-3Ferencvarosi TC3 September 2026
Vasas
- L0-1away to MTK Budapest16 October 2026
- D1-1Kisvarda FC10 October 2026
- W4-2away to Debreceni VSC19 September 2026
- W3-2Nyiregyhaza4 September 2026
- L1-3away to Ujpest29 August 2026
What these results say
- Gyori ETO FC conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Gyori ETO FC had three goals or more.
- Vasas conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Vasas scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Both sides scored in 4 of these 5 matches for Vasas.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
NB I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gyori ETO FC | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 12 | +6 | 18 |
| 3 | Vasas | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 13 | +5 | 15 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
Gyori ETO FC
Chance to win the league · 33% today
Vasas
Chance to finish in the top four · 54% today
From our NB I season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. Each figure is that side's chance once this match ends in a win, a draw or a defeat for it, with every other match still left to the model. Positions in the table, not competition rules: what a place is worth differs from league to league.
Head-to-head: Gyori ETO FC vs Vasas
- 26 July 2026Vasas 2–2 Gyori ETO FCNB I
- 20 May 2024Gyori ETO FC 3–2 VasasNB II
- 27 November 2023Vasas 6–0 Gyori ETO FCNB II
- 13 March 2022Vasas 2–0 Gyori ETO FCNB II
- 26 September 2021Gyori ETO FC 3–1 VasasNB II
- 14 July 2021Gyori ETO FC 0–3 VasasFriendlies Clubs
Leading scorers: Gyori ETO FC and Vasas
Gyori ETO FC
GoalsAssists
- M. Huszár21
Vasas
GoalsAssists
- M. Kovácsréti21
- M. Tóth21
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Two sides the ratings cannot separate
Gyori ETO FC carry a model rating of 6.66 against 6.53 for Vasas. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
A gap that small is inside the noise of the rating itself — treat the two as level.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.79 goals for Gyori ETO FC and 1.19 for Vasas. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Gyori ETO FC rate 0.77 in attack and 1.14 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Vasas rate 0.74 and 1.40.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Gyori ETO FC a 33.3% chance of the title and Vasas 7.9%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,962 correct results out of 4,088 settled predictions (48%), with 410 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Once the match starts, the win probabilities at the top update live from the score, the clock and any sendings-off.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Gyori ETO FC the highest probability at 48%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.79 expected goals for Gyori ETO FC against 1.19 for Vasas. Gyori ETO FC's attack/defence rating is 0.77/1.14 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.74/1.4 for Vasas.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
Gyori ETO FC at home · Vasas away
League matches only, NB I, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All NB I matches this season: Gyori ETO FC 10, Vasas 10.
Gyori ETO FC score most often in the 76–90 minute window (8 goals); Vasas have let in 4 there.
Vasas score most often in the 76–90 minute window (7 goals); Gyori ETO FC have let in 2 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 4 matches, by difficulty
Gyori ETO FC
- at Nyiregyhaza7 Nov · NB Iwin 53%
- at Ferencvarosi TC21 Nov · NB Iwin 31%
- vs Debreceni VSC28 Nov · NB Iwin 52%
- at Zalaegerszegi TE5 Dec · NB Iwin 45%
Vasas
- vs Ferencvarosi TC7 Nov · NB Iwin 33%
- at Zalaegerszegi TE21 Nov · NB Iwin 39%
- vs Budapest Honved28 Nov · NB Iwin 49%
- at Puskas Academy5 Dec · NB Iwin 33%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.