30 July 2026, 16:30 UTC

FC Levadia Tallinn vs IFK Goteborg UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result

A. Le Coq Arena, Tallinn
Full time1 – 3

Final score: FC Levadia Tallinn 1-3 IFK Goteborg.

Before kick-off the model made it 36% FC Levadia Tallinn, 22% draw, 42% IFK Goteborg — fair odds of 2.78, 4.55 and 2.38. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts IFK Goteborg at 42% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1092 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

FC Levadia Tallinn0%Draw6%IFK Goteborg94%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

37'
Felix Eriksson
Abraham Nwankwo
45'
45+2'
⚽Tobias Heintz (pen)
57'
⚽A. Bergmark-Wibergassist: N. Tolf
63'
🔁K. Thordarsonout: S. Larsson
63'
🔁S. Clemmensenout: S. Alioum
63'
🔁F. Erikssonout: A. Jallow
Rasmus Peetson
66'
72'
Saidou Alioum Moubarak
80'
🔁T. Heintzout: T. Coimbra
88'
⚽Sam Larsson (pen)
Mark Oliver Roosnupp
89'
🔁Wendellout: M. Skvortsov
90+4'
🔁M. Roosnuppout: E. Otoo
90+4'
91'
🔁N. Tolfout: I. Seidu
93'
⚽A. Bergmark-Wiberg
94'
Adam Bergmark Wiberg
95'
Tiago Coimbra
🔁Joao Pedroout: Kaua Davi
100'
103'
⚽S. Alioumassist: S. Larsson
Victory Iboro
105+1'
🔁F. Liivakout: G. Lehtmets
105'
🔁J. Salisteout: T. Tammik
106'
🔁A. Nwankwoout: M. Sambe
112'
119'
🔁H. Hermannssonout: J. Bager
⚽M. Skvortsov
120'

Line-ups

FC Levadia Tallinn 4-1-3-2
  • 99K. VallnerG
  • 23F. LiivakD
  • 20A. NwankwoD
  • 35V. IboroD
  • 29J. SalisteD
  • 6R. PeetsonM
  • 5M. RoosnuppM
  • 11M. AinsaluM
  • 36Joao PedroM
  • 10WendellF
  • 9B. TambedouF
Substitutes
  • 1O. AniG
  • 4T. TammikD
  • 7G. LehtmetsF
  • 17R. KirssF
  • 19M. SambeF
  • 21M. SkvortsovM
  • 30H. LiivD
  • 33E. OtooM
  • 71Kaua DaviD
Coach: Vjatseslav Zahovaiko
IFK Goteborg 4-3-3
  • 12V. AnderssonG
  • 18F. ErikssonD
  • 4R. YeboahD
  • 6H. HermannssonD
  • 22N. TolfD
  • 24O. ManssonM
  • 15D. KruseM
  • 23K. Thordarson
  • 7S. ClemmensenF
  • 29A. Bergmark-WibergF
  • 14T. HeintzM
Substitutes
  • 1J. RasheedG
  • 25E. BishesariG
  • 5J. BagerD
  • 8S. LarssonM
  • 9M. FengerF
  • 11S. AlioumM
  • 16F. OttossonM
  • 17A. JallowD
  • 28I. SeiduD
Coach: Stefan Billborn

Form going into FC Levadia Tallinn vs IFK Goteborg

FC Levadia Tallinn

  • W2-1away to IFK Goteborg21 July 2026

IFK Goteborg

  • L1-4away to Sirius26 July 2026
  • L1-2FC Levadia Tallinn21 July 2026
  • W2-1IF Brommapojkarna17 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Head-to-head: FC Levadia Tallinn vs IFK Goteborg

  • 30 July 2026FC Levadia Tallinn 0–1 IFK GoteborgUEFA Europa Conference League
  • 21 July 2026IFK Goteborg 1–2 FC Levadia TallinnUEFA Europa Conference League

Leading scorers: FC Levadia Tallinn and IFK Goteborg

FC Levadia Tallinn

No leading scorers listed yet.

IFK Goteborg

  • S. Larsson7 goals2 assists
  • T. Heintz6 goals5 assists

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.