FC Levadia Tallinn
vs
IFK Goteborg
Final score: FC Levadia Tallinn 1-3 IFK Goteborg.
Before kick-off the model made it 37% FC Levadia Tallinn, 21% draw, 42% IFK Goteborg — fair odds of 2.70, 4.76 and 2.38. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
Expected goals: FC Levadia Tallinn 1.99, IFK Goteborg 2.10.
Both teams to score: 76%. Over 2.5 goals: 77%, under 2.5: 23%.
Model confidence: Medium.
Model insights
Head-to-head: FC Levadia Tallinn vs IFK Goteborg
- 30 July 2026FC Levadia Tallinn 0–1 IFK GoteborgUEFA Europa Conference League
- 21 July 2026IFK Goteborg 1–2 FC Levadia TallinnUEFA Europa Conference League
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives IFK Goteborg the highest probability at 42%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.99 expected goals for FC Levadia Tallinn against 2.1 for IFK Goteborg. FC Levadia Tallinn's attack/defence rating is 0.67/1.85 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.81/1.57 for IFK Goteborg.