30 July 2026, 16:30 UTC

FC Levadia Tallinn vs IFK Goteborg UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result

A. Le Coq Arena, Tallinn
Full time1 – 3

Final score: FC Levadia Tallinn 1-3 IFK Goteborg.

Before kick-off the model made it 36% FC Levadia Tallinn, 22% draw, 42% IFK Goteborg — fair odds of 2.78, 4.55 and 2.38. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

The tie

Second leg of the UEFA Europa Conference League 2nd Qualifying Round tie. First leg: IFK Goteborg 1–2 FC Levadia Tallinn (21 Jul) →

IFK Goteborg went through 4–3 on aggregate.

Has the model earned this number?

It puts IFK Goteborg at 42% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

FC Levadia Tallinn0%Draw6%IFK Goteborg94%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

37'
Felix Eriksson
Abraham Nwankwo
45'
45+2'
⚽Tobias Heintz (pen)
57'
⚽A. Bergmark-Wibergassist: N. Tolf
63'
🔁K. Thordarsonout: S. Larsson
63'
🔁S. Clemmensenout: S. Alioum
63'
🔁F. Erikssonout: A. Jallow
Rasmus Peetson
66'
72'
Saidou Alioum Moubarak
80'
🔁T. Heintzout: T. Coimbra
88'
⚽Sam Larsson (pen)
Mark Oliver Roosnupp
89'
🔁Wendellout: M. Skvortsov
90+4'
🔁M. Roosnuppout: E. Otoo
90+4'
91'
🔁N. Tolfout: I. Seidu
93'
⚽A. Bergmark-Wiberg
94'
Adam Bergmark Wiberg
95'
Tiago Coimbra
🔁Joao Pedroout: Kaua Davi
100'
103'
⚽S. Alioumassist: S. Larsson
Victory Iboro
105+1'
🔁F. Liivakout: G. Lehtmets
105'
🔁J. Salisteout: T. Tammik
106'
🔁A. Nwankwoout: M. Sambe
112'
119'
🔁H. Hermannssonout: J. Bager
⚽M. Skvortsov
120'

Line-ups

FC Levadia Tallinn 4-1-3-2
  • 99K. VallnerG
  • 23F. LiivakD
  • 20A. NwankwoD
  • 35V. IboroD
  • 29J. SalisteD
  • 6R. PeetsonM
  • 5M. RoosnuppM
  • 11M. AinsaluM
  • 36Joao PedroM
  • 10WendellF
  • 9B. TambedouF
Substitutes
  • 1O. AniG
  • 4T. TammikD
  • 7G. LehtmetsF
  • 17R. KirssF
  • 19M. SambeF
  • 21M. SkvortsovM
  • 30H. LiivD
  • 33E. OtooM
  • 71Kaua DaviD
Coach: Vjatseslav Zahovaiko
IFK Goteborg 4-3-3
  • 12V. AnderssonG
  • 18F. ErikssonD
  • 4R. YeboahD
  • 6H. HermannssonD
  • 22N. TolfD
  • 24O. ManssonM
  • 15D. KruseM
  • 23K. Thordarson
  • 7S. ClemmensenF
  • 29A. Bergmark-WibergF
  • 14T. HeintzM
Substitutes
  • 1J. RasheedG
  • 25E. BishesariG
  • 5J. BagerD
  • 8S. LarssonM
  • 9M. FengerF
  • 11S. AlioumM
  • 16F. OttossonM
  • 17A. JallowD
  • 28I. SeiduD
Coach: Stefan Billborn

Form going into FC Levadia Tallinn vs IFK Goteborg

FC Levadia Tallinn

All competitions we cover

  • W2-1away to IFK Goteborg21 July 2026

IFK Goteborg

All competitions we cover

  • L1-4away to Sirius26 July 2026
  • L1-2FC Levadia Tallinn21 July 2026
  • W2-1IF Brommapojkarna17 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Head-to-head: FC Levadia Tallinn vs IFK Goteborg

  • 21 July 2026IFK Goteborg 1–2 FC Levadia TallinnUEFA Europa Conference League

Leading scorers: FC Levadia Tallinn and IFK Goteborg

FC Levadia Tallinn

No leading scorers listed yet.

IFK Goteborg

GoalsAssists

  • S. Larsson83

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

IFK Goteborg won 3–1 at FC Levadia Tallinn. The model had made a win for IFK Goteborg its most likely outcome, at 42%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: A. Bergmark-Wiberg 57' for IFK Goteborg, A. Bergmark-Wiberg 93' for IFK Goteborg, S. Alioum 103' for IFK Goteborg, M. Skvortsov 120' for FC Levadia Tallinn.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.