23 July 2026, 18:45 UTC

Bravo vs Shkendija UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result

ZSD Ljubljana Stadium, Ljubljana
Full time2 – 1

Final score: Bravo 2-1 Shkendija.

Before kick-off the model made it 31% Bravo, 36% draw, 33% Shkendija — fair odds of 3.23, 2.78 and 3.03. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 0-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

The tie

First leg of the UEFA Europa Conference League 2nd Qualifying Round tie. Second leg: Shkendija v Bravo, 30 Jul →

Shkendija went through 4–3 on aggregate.

Has the model earned this number?

It puts the draw at 36% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 3,919 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

11'
⚽E. Krasniqi (pen)
13'
Endrit Krasniqi
⚽R. Kopatin
19'
Marko Simonic
35'
🔁I. Halilouout: L. Stravs
52'
⚽J. Stankovicassist: G. Jovan
56'
61'
🔁V. Krstevskiout: F. Tamba
🔁R. Kopatinout: A. Jakupovic
66'
🔁J. Stankovicout: O. Mazie
66'
68'
Rafael Freitas
69'
🔁E. Krasniqiout: S. Spahiu
69'
🔁A. Kryeziuout: F. Ramadani
85'
🔁F. Ndzengueout: B. Ibraimi
85'
🔁Rafaout: M. Gjorgjievski
Okpo Mazie
88'
90+2'
Arbin Zejnullai

Line-ups

Bravo 3-4-3
  • 77Matjaž RozmanG
  • 68Marwann NzuziD
  • 5Ibrahim HalilouD
  • 4Jakob BrunnhoferD
  • 7Divine OmoregieM
  • 99Marko SimonicM
  • 8Sandi NuhanovićM
  • 24Gašper JovanD
  • 17James Inyere ArinzeM
  • 35Rok KopatinF
  • 10Jakoslav StankovićM
Substitutes
  • 21Lan ŠtravsM
  • 11Okpo MazieM
  • 18Aldin JakupovicF
  • 12Luka DakićG
  • 22Benjamin MatičičG
  • 95Maj FogecD
  • 14Enrik OstrcM
  • 31Viktor BozicM
  • 75Andrej PecarF
Coach: Ales Arnol
Shkendija 4-3-3
  • 25Astrit AmzaiG
  • 2Aleksander TrumciD
  • 15Imran FetaiD
  • 5Drilon IslamiM
  • 23Bojan DimoskiD
  • 17Arbin ZejnullaiM
  • 8Rafael FreitasM
  • 10Endrit KrasniqiM
  • 19Vane KrstevskiF
  • 9Fahd NdzengueF
  • 11Almir KryeziuM
Substitutes
  • 29Fabrice TambaF
  • 49Sebastjan SpahiuM
  • 77Florent RamadaniM
  • 7Besart IbraimiF
  • 99Marko GjorgjievskiF
  • 30Ferat RamaniG
  • 16Mevlan MuratiD
  • 18Nazif CekaD
  • 26Anes MeljichiD
Coach: Festim Ademi

The result against the call

Bravo beat Shkendija 2–1. The model had leaned towards a draw at 36% and given a win for Bravo 31%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: E. Krasniqi (penalty) 11' for Shkendija, R. Kopatin 19' for Bravo, J. Stankovic 56' for Bravo.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.