30 July 2026, 18:45 UTC

Koper vs NSI Runavik UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result

Bonifika, Koper
Full time0 – 2

Final score: Koper 0-2 NSI Runavik.

Before kick-off the model made it 59% Koper, 20% draw, 21% NSI Runavik — fair odds of 1.69, 5.00 and 4.76. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Koper at 59% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 630 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Álvaro Roncal
22'
⚽Leo Rimac (pen)
25'
35'
⚽B. Nolsoeassist: S. Skytte
Florian Hartherz
58'
🔁A. Ruedlout: K. Manseri
67'
🔁F. Hartherzout: G. Agyemang
68'
Leo Rimac
70'
70'
⚽M. Lindh
Luka Baš
71'
74'
🔁M. Olsenout: K. Olsen
🔁B. Iraborout: J. Ilicic
79'
🔁F. Tomekout: S. Surdanovic
79'
🔁L. Rimacout: B. Ndiaye
85'
87'
🔁S. Skytteout: A. F. Elisson
Diawara Bangaly
90+5'
🔁I. Matondoout: J. Longonda
91'
99'
Beinir Nolsøe
101'
Jann Benjaminsen
101'
Viljormur Davidsen
102'
Tom Amos
⚽B. Ndiaye (pen)
102'
103'
🔁F. Drinicout: M. Danielsen
106'
Petur Knudsen
Giuseppe Agyemang
111'
115'
🔁B. Nolsoeout: J. Trondargjogv
120'
⚽M. Przybylskiassist: V. Davidsen

Line-ups

Koper 4-3-1-2
  • 1L. BasG
  • 47A. RoncalD
  • 33F. Damjanovic
  • 5F. BackuljaD
  • 3F. HartherzD
  • 45I. MatondoM
  • 25D. Bangaly
  • 27A. RuedlM
  • 6F. TomekM
  • 10L. RimacM
  • 9B. IraborF
Substitutes
  • 28L. Jovanovic
  • 4L. StulacM
  • 8B. Ndiaye
  • 14J. StrcajM
  • 17A. SutaloM
  • 18G. AgyemangD
  • 26B. AdrovicM
  • 29L. GucekD
  • 72J. IlicicF
Coach: Zoran Zeljkovic
NSI Runavik 4-3-3
  • 13T. AmosG
  • 17J. BenjaminsenD
  • 4D. ObbekjaerD
  • 3V. DavidsenD
  • 12F. DrinicD
  • 6B. NolsoeM
  • 2S. Skytte
  • 45M. OlsenM
  • 11M. LindhM
  • 33M. PrzybylskiM
  • 16P. KnudsenM
Substitutes
  • 1K. JoensenG
  • 30D. DanielsenG
  • 5A. F. ElissonD
  • 10K. OlsenF
  • 22J. TrondargjogvD
  • 28M. DanielsenF
Coach: Sigurdur Eyjolfsson

Form going into Koper vs NSI Runavik

Koper

  • W2-0away to NSI Runavik23 July 2026

NSI Runavik

  • L0-2Koper23 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Head-to-head: Koper vs NSI Runavik

  • 23 July 2026NSI Runavik 0–2 KoperUEFA Europa Conference League
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.