6 August 2026, 16:00 UTC

Jagiellonia vs Rangers UEFA Europa League prediction & result

Chorten Arena, Bialystok
Full time2 – 1

Final score: Jagiellonia 2-1 Rangers.

Before kick-off the model made it 70% Jagiellonia, 16% draw, 14% Rangers — fair odds of 1.43, 6.25 and 7.14.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

The tie

First leg of the UEFA Europa League 3rd Qualifying Round tie. Second leg: Rangers v Jagiellonia, 13 Aug →

Jagiellonia went through 3–2 on aggregate.

Has the model earned this number?

Jagiellonia at 70%: of 501 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.5% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Jagiellonia96%Draw4%Rangers0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

4'
⚽G. Montoia (OG)
5'
Tuur Rommens
⚽E. Fernandez (OG)
13'
⚽K. Szmyt
21'
34'
Tochi Chukwuani
46'
🔁T. Chukwuaniout: C. Devlin
46'
🔁D. Neilout: N. Raskin
46'
🔁D. Yokotaout: F. Curtis
🔁R. Conceicaoout: J. Agbonifo
65'
🔁S. Lozanoout: A. Klynge
65'
76'
🔁T. Aasgaardout: V. Dragojevic
🔁J. Imazout: D. Drachal
80'
🔁N. Prelecout: Y. Sylla
80'
85'
🔁R. McCrorieout: L. Shankland
Yuki Kobayashi
88'
90+2'
Nicolas Raskin

Match stats — Jagiellonia vs Rangers

52%Possession48%
7On target3
1Corners5

Line-ups

Jagiellonia 4-3-3
  • 50S. AbramowiczG
  • 15N. WojtuszekD
  • 44A. KonstantopoulosD
  • 4Y. KobayashiD
  • 23G. MontoiaD
  • 27R. ConceicaoD
  • 6T. RomanczukM
  • 21S. LozanoM
  • 7K. SzmytM
  • 11J. ImazM
  • 99N. PrelecF
Substitutes
  • 2C. PolakM
  • 8D. DrachalM
  • 9D. RallisF
  • 10J. AgbonifoM
  • 17Y. SyllaF
  • 19A. KlyngeM
  • 53B. KrasiewiczD
  • 80Z. ZalewskiF
  • 85E. KozlowskiM
Coach: Adrian Siemieniec
Rangers 4-2-3-1
  • 1I. PandurG
  • 21D. SterlingD
  • 2R. McCrorieM
  • 37E. FernandezD
  • 25T. RommensD
  • 42T. ChukwuaniM
  • 6D. NeilM
  • 17D. YokotaF
  • 11T. AasgaardM
  • 10M. DiomandeM
  • 9ChermitiF
Substitutes
  • 7L. ShanklandF
  • 14C. DevlinM
  • 20R. NaderiF
  • 22V. DragojevicM
  • 23D. GassamaM
  • 24O. MakhanyaD
  • 28B. MiovskiF
  • 41Z. HuttonD
  • 43N. RaskinM
Coach: Derek McInnes

Form going into Jagiellonia vs Rangers

Jagiellonia

All competitions we cover

  • W2-1away to Motor Lublin31 July 2026
  • W1-0Korona Kielce25 July 2026

Rangers

All competitions we cover

  • D1-1away to Dundee United31 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Jagiellonia and Rangers in their domestic leagues

#TeamLeaguePWDLGFGAGDPts
29JagielloniaUEFA Europa League410347-33
2RangersPremiership12831219+1227

Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: UEFA Europa League · Premiership

Leading scorers: Jagiellonia and Rangers

Jagiellonia

No player in UEFA Europa League's leading scorers — 4 league goals as a side.

Rangers

GoalsAssists

  • R. Naderi63
  • K. Kelsy40

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Jagiellonia beat Rangers 2–1. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Jagiellonia at 70%. The goals: G. Montoia (own goal) 4' for Rangers, E. Fernandez (own goal) 13' for Jagiellonia, K. Szmyt 21' for Jagiellonia.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.