6 August 2026, 15:00 UTC

KuPS vs Universitatea Craiova UEFA Europa League prediction & result

Vare Areena, Kuopio
Full time1 – 1

Final score: KuPS 1-1 Universitatea Craiova.

Before kick-off the model made it 31% KuPS, 26% draw, 43% Universitatea Craiova — fair odds of 3.23, 3.85 and 2.33.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

The tie

First leg of the UEFA Europa League 3rd Qualifying Round tie. Second leg: Universitatea Craiova v KuPS, 13 Aug →

Universitatea Craiova went through 3–2 on aggregate.

Has the model earned this number?

Universitatea Craiova at 43%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

KuPS4%Draw92%Universitatea Craiova4%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Clinton Antwi
36'
38'
⚽S. Baiaramassist: A. Rus
59'
🔁S. Nsimbaout: A. Al Hamlawi
59'
🔁A. Cicaldauout: Teles
59'
🔁S. Baiaramout: D. Matei
🔁V. R. Gascout: S. Savolainen
60'
🔁B. Armahout: C. Kabuye
60'
🔁A. Puukkoout: P. Parzyszek
60'
68'
Adrian Rus
⚽J. J. Moreno Ciorciariassist: T. Jyry
72'
🔁J. Luyeye-Lutumbaout: A. Heinonen
73'
73'
🔁M. Etimout: Heriberto Tavares
🔁C. Antwiout: S. Heiskanen
83'
Saku Heiskanen
88'
90+5'
🔁A. Mekvabishviliout: T. Baluta

Match stats — KuPS vs Universitatea Craiova

53%Possession47%
1On target4
6Corners2

Line-ups

KuPS 4-2-3-1
  • 12H. RiihimakiG
  • 29A. Puukko
  • 28B. MagassaD
  • 4K. AdamsD
  • 25C. AntwiD
  • 10V. R. GascM
  • 22S. TourayM
  • 21J. Luyeye-LutumbaM
  • 16T. JyryM
  • 24B. ArmahD
  • 11J. J. Moreno CiorciariF
Substitutes
  • 37K. SilenG
  • 3S. HeiskanenM
  • 6S. SavolainenD
  • 13N. KujasaloM
  • 17A. HeinonenM
  • 19C. KabuyeF
  • 20P. ParzyszekF
  • 23A. LotjonenD
  • 33T. HamalainenD
Coach: Miika Nuutinen
Universitatea Craiova 3-4-3
  • 21L. PopescuG
  • 28A. RusD
  • 24N. StevanovicD
  • 6V. ScreciuD
  • 17C. MoraM
  • 20A. CicaldauM
  • 5A. MekvabishviliM
  • 11N. BancuM
  • 12M. EtimF
  • 7S. NsimbaF
  • 10S. BaiaramF
Substitutes
  • 1A. MaximG
  • 90R. SavaG
  • 3O. RomanchukD
  • 4A. CretuM
  • 8T. BalutaM
  • 9A. Al HamlawiF
  • 18M. RadulescuM
  • 19Heriberto TavaresF
  • 22S. ElisorF
Coach: Filipe Coelho

Form going into KuPS vs Universitatea Craiova

KuPS

All competitions we cover

  • L0-2Sabah FA28 July 2026
  • L0-1away to Sabah FA21 July 2026

Universitatea Craiova

All competitions we cover

  • W4-0Petrolul Ploiesti1 August 2026
  • D2-2Levski Sofia29 July 2026
  • L1-5away to Dinamo Bucuresti25 July 2026
  • L0-1away to Levski Sofia22 July 2026
  • W4-0Uta Arad18 July 2026

What these results say

  • Universitatea Craiova scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • 4 of these 5 matches for Universitatea Craiova had three goals or more.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

The result against the call

KuPS and Universitatea Craiova drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Universitatea Craiova at 43% and given a draw 26%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: S. Baiaram 38' for Universitatea Craiova, J. J. Moreno Ciorciari 72' for KuPS.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.