Ferencvarosi TC
vs
Gornik Zabrze
The model makes it 46% Ferencvarosi TC, 28% draw, 26% Gornik Zabrze — fair odds of 2.17, 3.57 and 3.85. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Expected goals: Ferencvarosi TC 1.38, Gornik Zabrze 0.96.
Both teams to score: 47%. Over 2.5 goals: 41%, under 2.5: 59%.
Model confidence: Medium.
Model insights
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Ferencvarosi TC the highest probability at 46%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.38 expected goals for Ferencvarosi TC against 0.96 for Gornik Zabrze. Ferencvarosi TC's attack/defence rating is 0.65/0.85 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.81/1.12 for Gornik Zabrze.