5 August 2026, 18:15 UTC

Ferencvarosi TC vs Gornik Zabrze UEFA Europa League prediction & result

Groupama Arena, Budapest
Full time1 – 0

Final score: Ferencvarosi TC 1-0 Gornik Zabrze.

Before kick-off the model made it 46% Ferencvarosi TC, 28% draw, 26% Gornik Zabrze — fair odds of 2.17, 3.57 and 3.85. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Ferencvarosi TC at 46% here. Across 2454 settled matches, 1104 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Ferencvarosi TC97%Draw3%Gornik Zabrze0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

10'
Josema
62'
🔁E. Prekopout: S. Liseth
62'
🔁Y. Ikia Dimiout: M. Khlan
⚽M. Corbuassist: Cadu
65'
🔁Deleout: C. O'Dowda
70'
🔁J. Leviout: D. Arzani
71'
80'
🔁T. Ismaheelout: Peter Federico
🔁G. Kanichowskyout: A. Nagy
83'
85'
🔁M. Dietzout: B. Donio
🔁L. Josephout: K. Kodro
90+1'
🔁Caduout: A. Cirkovic
90+1'

Match stats — Ferencvarosi TC vs Gornik Zabrze

0%Possession0%
4On target1
2Corners5

Line-ups

Ferencvarosi TC 4-3-3
  • 90D. DibuszG
  • 20CaduM
  • 4M. GomezD
  • 28T. RaemaekersD
  • 14A. OsvathM
  • 17M. CorbuM
  • 36G. KanichowskyM
  • 10J. LeviM
  • 16K. ZachariassenM
  • 75L. JosephF
  • 11DeleF
Substitutes
  • 1A. VargaG
  • 24K. KodroF
  • 15D. ArzaniM
  • 32A. CirkovicM
  • 54O. Nagy
  • 30Z. GruberF
  • 68I. Varga Zeteny
  • 47C. O'DowdaM
  • 6A. NagyM
Coach: Balazs Borbely
Gornik Zabrze 4-3-3
  • 1P. SchulzeG
  • 61M. SacekD
  • 26R. JanickiD
  • 20JosemaD
  • 64E. JanzaD
  • 18L. SadilekM
  • 66M. DietzM
  • 82K. UrbanskiM
  • 7Y. Ikia DimiF
  • 11E. PrekopF
  • 88T. IsmaheelM
Substitutes
  • 29W. KaniaG
  • 4P. BochniewiczD
  • 23S. LisethF
  • 21O. ZmrzlyD
  • 33M. KhlanM
  • 28B. DonioM
  • 36M. RakoczyM
  • 2P. Warczak
  • 19Peter FedericoM
Coach: Michal Gasparik

Form going into Ferencvarosi TC vs Gornik Zabrze

Ferencvarosi TC

  • D0-0Vasas2 August 2026

Gornik Zabrze

  • D1-1Fenerbahçe29 July 2026
  • W2-1Slask Wroclaw25 July 2026
  • L0-1away to Fenerbahçe21 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Ferencvarosi TC and Gornik Zabrze in their domestic leagues

#TeamLeaguePWDLGFGAGDPts
5Ferencvarosi TCNB I6321107+311
1Gornik ZabrzeEkstraklasa8701168+821

Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: NB I · Ekstraklasa

Head-to-head: Ferencvarosi TC vs Gornik Zabrze

  • 5 August 2026Ferencvarosi TC 0–0 Gornik ZabrzeUEFA Europa League

Leading scorers: Ferencvarosi TC and Gornik Zabrze

Ferencvarosi TC

  • B. Yusuf2 goals1 assists

Gornik Zabrze

  • K. Urbański3 goals1 assists

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.