4 August 2026, 19:00 UTC

Larne vs FC Iberia 1999 UEFA Europa League prediction & result

Inver Park, Larne
Full time0 – 0

Final score: Larne 0-0 FC Iberia 1999.

Before kick-off the model made it 70% Larne, 18% draw, 12% FC Iberia 1999 — fair odds of 1.43, 5.56 and 8.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Larne at 70% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 275 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 60.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 74.5%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Larne7%Draw91%FC Iberia 19992%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Tomas Cosgrove
11'
Chris Gallagher
45'
59'
🔁Andria Bartishviliout: Amiran Dzagania
🔁Dylan Sloanout: Jordan McEneff
65'
🔁Montel Gibsonout: Paul O'Neill
65'
66'
Jemali Giorgi Jinjolava
🔁Ronan Dohertyout: James Simpson
75'
🔁Matthew Lustyout: Kevin O'Hara
75'
78'
🔁Giorgi Kutsiaout: Abdullahi Ibrahim Alhassan

Line-ups

Larne 4-3-3
  • 1Rohan FergusonG
  • 23Tomas CosgroveD
  • 26Dan BentM
  • 3Matt RidleyD
  • 4Aaron DonnellyD
  • 15Ronan DohertyM
  • 6Chris GallagherM
  • 11Sean GrahamD
  • 25Dylan SloanM
  • 45Montel GibsonF
  • 30Matthew LustyF
Substitutes
  • 22Jordan McEneffM
  • 9Paul O'NeillF
  • 47James SimpsonM
  • 19Kevin O'HaraF
  • 16Jacob CarneyG
  • 2Logan WallaceD
  • 7Conor McKendryM
  • 17Joshua UkekM
  • 14Benji MageeM
Coach: Gary Haveron
FC Iberia 1999 4-3-3
  • 31Giorgi MakaridzeG
  • 40Giorgi KobuladzeD
  • 4Vahid SelimovićD
  • 25Aleksandre AmisulashviliD
  • 5Jemali Giorgi JinjolavaD
  • 8Bakar KardavaM
  • 6Nikoloz DadianiM
  • 27Giorgi KutsiaM
  • 10Zviad NatchkebiaM
  • 19Nika SikharulashviliM
  • 11Andria BartishviliM
Substitutes
  • 9Amiran DzaganiaF
  • 14Abdullahi Ibrahim AlhassanM
  • 1Tornike MegrelishviliG
  • 30Nikoloz BochorishviliD
  • 39Giorgi ChanturiaD
  • 23Eldar KuliievM
  • 17Stephen EndeF
  • 29Lado ChikhradzeF
Coach: Andriy Demchenko

Form going into Larne vs FC Iberia 1999

Larne

  • L0-5away to FK Crvena Zvezda29 July 2026
  • L0-4FK Crvena Zvezda21 July 2026

FC Iberia 1999

  • D1-1away to Slovan Bratislava29 July 2026
  • L0-2Slovan Bratislava21 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Head-to-head: Larne vs FC Iberia 1999

  • 4 August 2026Larne 0–0 FC Iberia 1999UEFA Europa League
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.