Septemvri Sofia vs CSKA Sofia First League prediction & result
Final score: Septemvri Sofia 0-3 CSKA Sofia.
Before kick-off the model made it 30% Septemvri Sofia, 26% draw, 44% CSKA Sofia — fair odds of 3.33, 3.85 and 2.27.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Bulgarian First League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
CSKA Sofia at 44%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Line-ups
- 12Vladimir IvanovG
- 13Kubrat OnashchiD
- 4Martin HristovD
- 3Sebas WadeD
- 8Bozhidar PenchevD
- 26Valentine OzornwaforD
- 5Yoan BaurenskiM
- 6Pedro FerreiraM
- 11Aleksandar DzhamovF
- 17Nicolas FontaineM
- 29Frantzety HerardF
- 33Galin IvanovM
- 27André LiberalF
- 24Zahari AtanasovM
- 28Stoyan StoichkovM
- 21Nikolay KrastevG
- Petar GospodinovD
- 23Borislav StoichkovD
- 20Bozhidar TomovskiD
- 30Viktor DobrevM
- 21Fedor LapoukhovG
- 99James Eto'oM
- 5Jean-Philippe GbaminD
- 32Facundo RodríguezD
- 11Mohamed Amine BrahimiM
- 94Isaac SoletM
- 6Bruno JordãoM
- 30Petko PanayotovM
- 17Ángelo MartinoD
- 10Joël ZwartsF
- 28Ioannis PittasF
- 19Andrey YordanovD
- 7Max EbongM
- 9Leandro GodoyF
- 8Stefano SensiM
- 80Georgi ChorbadzhiyskiM
- 25Dimitar EvtimovG
- 14Teodor IvanovD
- 2PastorD
- 90Aleks TunchevD
Form going into Septemvri Sofia vs CSKA Sofia
Septemvri Sofia
All competitions we cover
- L0-3away to Levski Sofia1 August 2026
- L1-2away to Lokomotiv Plovdiv26 July 2026
- D1-1Arda Kardzhali18 July 2026
CSKA Sofia
All competitions we cover
- W3-0away to Maccabi Tel Aviv6 August 2026
- W2-1Dunav Ruse2 August 2026
- D0-0Qarabag30 July 2026
- W3-2Botev Plovdiv27 July 2026
- D0-0away to Qarabag23 July 2026
What these results say
- CSKA Sofia went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
First League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Septemvri Sofia | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 11 |
| 1 | CSKA Sofia | 14 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 32 | 9 | +23 | 34 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Septemvri Sofia vs CSKA Sofia
- 28 February 2026Septemvri Sofia 2–0 CSKA SofiaFirst League
- 11 October 2025CSKA Sofia 4–0 Septemvri SofiaFriendlies Clubs
- 13 September 2025CSKA Sofia 3–1 Septemvri SofiaFirst League
- 29 March 2025Septemvri Sofia 0–1 CSKA SofiaFirst League
- 5 October 2024CSKA Sofia 0–1 Septemvri SofiaFirst League
Leading scorers: Septemvri Sofia and CSKA Sofia
Septemvri Sofia
GoalsAssists
- André Filipe Rio Liberal11
- F. Herard10
- A. Dzhamov10
CSKA Sofia
GoalsAssists
- Bruno Jordão20
- I. Pittas10
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
CSKA Sofia won 3–0 at Septemvri Sofia. The model had made a win for CSKA Sofia its most likely outcome, at 44%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: I. Pittas (penalty) 45' for CSKA Sofia, L. Godoy 72' for CSKA Sofia, J. Eto'o 81' for CSKA Sofia.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.