Sparta Rotterdam vs Feyenoord Eredivisie prediction & result
Final score: Sparta Rotterdam 0-1 Feyenoord.
Before kick-off the model made it 34% Sparta Rotterdam, 24% draw, 42% Feyenoord — fair odds of 2.94, 4.17 and 2.38.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Feyenoord at 42%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Sparta Rotterdam vs Feyenoord
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1Filip BednarekG
- 2Lushendry Edward MartesD
- 3Nick VerschurenD
- 4Bruno Martins IndiD
- 5Bas KuipersD
- 6Marvin YoungM
- 8Jens ToornstraM
- 7Casper TerhoM
- 10Shunsuke MitoM
- 11Ayoni SantosM
- 9Nökkvi ÞórissonF
- 18Robin van CruijsenM
- 16Alwande RoaldsoyM
- 19Milan ZonneveldF
- 17Mitchell Van BergenF
- 22Joel IdehoF
- 20Rik SuurG
- 14Teo QuinteroD
- 12Boyd ReithD
- 15Giannino VianelloD
- 1Tjark ErnstG
- 26Givairo ReadD
- 6Jeremiah St JusteD
- 24Thijs KraaijeveldD
- 35Mika MármolD
- 8Gjivai ZechiëlM
- 34Charles VanhoutteM
- 23Anis Hadj MoussaM
- 10Luciano ValenteM
- 27Gaoussou DiarraM
- 9Ayase UedaF
- 36Jivayno ZinhagelF
- 19Nacho FerriF
- 32Tijme WesselsD
- 49Shaqueel van PersieF
- 28Oussama TarghallineM
- 39Liam BossinG
- 47Neraysho KasanwirjoD
- 30Jordan LotombaD
- 20Mats DeijlD
Eredivisie table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Sparta Rotterdam | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 12 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 36 | 17 | +19 | 25 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Sparta Rotterdam vs Feyenoord
- 18 January 2026Feyenoord 3–4 Sparta RotterdamEredivisie
- 31 August 2025Sparta Rotterdam 0–4 FeyenoordEredivisie
- 8 February 2025Feyenoord 3–0 Sparta RotterdamEredivisie
- 25 August 2024Sparta Rotterdam 1–1 FeyenoordEredivisie
- 11 February 2024Feyenoord 2–0 Sparta RotterdamEredivisie
Leading scorers: Sparta Rotterdam and Feyenoord
Sparta Rotterdam
GoalsAssists
- M. Zonneveld72
Feyenoord
GoalsAssists
- A. Hadj-Moussa72
- Nacho Ferri63
- G. Zechiël54
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Feyenoord won 1–0 at Sparta Rotterdam. The model had made a win for Feyenoord its most likely outcome, at 42%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goal: L. Valente 35' for Feyenoord. On expected goals it finished 1.01–3.53.