Lokomotiv Sofia vs CSKA 1948 First League prediction & result
Final score: Lokomotiv Sofia 1-3 CSKA 1948.
Before kick-off the model made it 27% Lokomotiv Sofia, 19% draw, 54% CSKA 1948 — fair odds of 3.70, 5.26 and 1.85.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
CSKA 1948 at 54%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Line-ups
- 99Martin VelichkovG
- 22Reyan DaskalovD
- 44Bozhidar KatsarovD
- 91Ryan BidoungaD
- 14Angel LyaskovD
- 31Krasimir StanoevM
- 5Erol DostM
- 71Nikolas PenevM
- 20Dimitar KostadinovM
- 7Spas DelevM
- 10Georgi MinchevF
- 11Adil TaouiM
- 16Mohamed MedfaiM
- 17Mark Emilio PapazovM
- 6EirôD
- 77Caue Caruzo AlvesF
- 24Aleksandar LyubenovG
- 3Kaloyan KostovD
- 42Nikola NeychevD
- 19Mitko MitkovD
- 31Aleks BozhevG
- 96Dragan GrivićD
- 6Egor ParkhomenkoD
- 5Benaissa BenamarD
- 15Fourat SoltaniD
- 34Petar VitanovM
- 23Florian KrebsM
- 17José MartínezF
- 10Borislav TsonevM
- 77Elias FrancoM
- 93Mamadou DialloF
- 70Kostadin IlievD
- 67Frédéric MacielM
- 11Georgi RusevM
- 9Atanas IlievF
- 30Jules MeyerM
- 13Dimitar SheytanovG
- 22Ognjen GaševićD
- 14Kaloyan StrinskiM
- 19Marto BoychevM
Form going into Lokomotiv Sofia vs CSKA 1948
Lokomotiv Sofia
All competitions we cover
- D1-1away to Slavia Sofia31 July 2026
- L1-2Levski Sofia25 July 2026
- D1-1away to Botev Plovdiv20 July 2026
CSKA 1948
All competitions we cover
- D1-1away to Panathinaikos5 August 2026
- W2-1Arda Kardzhali31 July 2026
- D0-0Spartak Trnava28 July 2026
- W2-1Botev Vratsa25 July 2026
- D0-0away to Spartak Trnava22 July 2026
What these results say
- CSKA 1948 went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
First League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Lokomotiv Sofia | 14 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 9 |
| 4 | CSKA 1948 | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 33 | 16 | +17 | 29 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Lokomotiv Sofia vs CSKA 1948
- 21 March 2026CSKA 1948 3–2 Lokomotiv SofiaFirst League
- 19 October 2025Lokomotiv Sofia 0–1 CSKA 1948First League
- 14 May 2025Lokomotiv Sofia 2–1 CSKA 1948First League
- 9 February 2025CSKA 1948 1–4 Lokomotiv SofiaFirst League
- 18 August 2024Lokomotiv Sofia 0–0 CSKA 1948First League
Leading scorers: Lokomotiv Sofia and CSKA 1948
Lokomotiv Sofia
GoalsAssists
- S. Delev11
- D. Kostadinov10
CSKA 1948
GoalsAssists
- Frédéric Maciel30
- Elias Franco20
- A. Iliev10
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
CSKA 1948 won 3–1 at Lokomotiv Sofia. The model had made a win for CSKA 1948 its most likely outcome, at 54%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Elias Franco 53' for CSKA 1948, Frédéric Maciel 73' for CSKA 1948, Spas Delev 77' for Lokomotiv Sofia, Frédéric Maciel 87' for CSKA 1948.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.