Botev Vratsa vs Slavia Sofia First League prediction & result
Final score: Botev Vratsa 0-3 Slavia Sofia.
Before kick-off the model made it 59% Botev Vratsa, 27% draw, 14% Slavia Sofia — fair odds of 1.69, 3.70 and 7.14.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Botev Vratsa at 59%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Line-ups
- 94Marin OrlinovG
- 97Vladislav NaydenovM
- 36Milen StoevD
- 4Ivan GoranovD
- 3Sainey SanyangD
- 12Iliya YurukovM
- 8Antoan StoyanovM
- 24Martin SmolenskiM
- 81Kassim HadjiM
- 79Martin PetkovF
- 99Preslav BorukovF
- 10José GallegosM
- 98Lyubomir VasilevG
- 9Daniel GenovM
- 11Martin AchkovD
- 23Luboslav StoyanovG
- 88Lazar BoyanovD
- 6Abdullah KichukovM
- 17Samuil MechevM
- 2Emil PetrovM
- 99Ivan AndonovG
- 87Diego FerraressoD
- 4Nikola SavićD
- 5David MalembanaD
- 26Dimitar BurovM
- 95Vladimir MiletićM
- 71Kristiyan StoyanovM
- 77Emil StoevM
- 7Roberto RaychevM
- 27Umaro BaldéM
- 88Vladimir NikolovF
- 11Mouhamed DossoM
- 10Yanis GuermoucheF
- 17Vasil KazaldzhievF
- 23Ilian AntonovF
- 9Yoan BornosuzovF
- 63Levi NtumbaG
- 3Martin GeorgievD
- 24Lazar MarinD
- 20Jordan Semedo VarelaD
Form going into Botev Vratsa vs Slavia Sofia
Botev Vratsa
All competitions we cover
- L1-2away to Ludogorets2 August 2026
- L1-2away to CSKA 194825 July 2026
- D1-1Cherno More Varna19 July 2026
Slavia Sofia
All competitions we cover
- D1-1Lokomotiv Sofia31 July 2026
- L0-1away to Arda Kardzhali24 July 2026
- D0-0CSKA Sofia20 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
First League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Botev Vratsa | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 24 | -13 | 10 |
| 8 | Slavia Sofia | 14 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 14 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Botev Vratsa vs Slavia Sofia
- 26 April 2026Slavia Sofia 1–1 Botev VratsaFirst League
- 24 November 2025Botev Vratsa 0–1 Slavia SofiaFirst League
- 11 October 2025Slavia Sofia 3–3 Botev VratsaFriendlies Clubs
- 20 July 2025Slavia Sofia 2–2 Botev VratsaFirst League
- 25 May 2025Botev Vratsa 2–1 Slavia SofiaFirst League
The result against the call
Slavia Sofia won 3–0 at Botev Vratsa. The model had leaned towards a win for Botev Vratsa at 59% and given a win for Slavia Sofia 14%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 7 matches like this one. The goals: R. Raychev 56' for Slavia Sofia, V. Kazaldzhiev 82' for Slavia Sofia, V. Kazaldzhiev 90+4' for Slavia Sofia. Sent off: I. Goranov (Botev Vratsa) 70'.