Botev Plovdiv vs Spartak Varna First League prediction & result
Final score: Botev Plovdiv 3-2 Spartak Varna.
Before kick-off the model made it 15% Botev Plovdiv, 17% draw, 68% Spartak Varna — fair odds of 6.67, 5.88 and 1.47.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Spartak Varna at 68%: of 501 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.5% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Line-ups
- 29Daniel NaumovG
- 82Vladimir MendesD
- 87Simeon PetrovD
- 20Timothy AwanyD
- 27Bryan-Anthony Chibuike HeinD
- 77Lucas AraujoM
- 10Asen ChandarovM
- 66Carlos MeottiM
- 7Nikola IlievM
- 90Samuel KaluM
- 30Franklin MascoteF
- 15Bogdan KostovD
- 19Mauro RodriguesM
- 9Chidera Micheal OkohF
- 88Williams Chimezie OluebubeF
- 21Nikolay PrandzhevG
- 4Nikola SoldoD
- 22Marvin SengerD
- 16Veliyan VidolovM
- 17Georgi MilanovM
- 23Plamen IlievG
- 76David Valverde JuanM
- 72Vasco OliveiraD
- 45Joey TshitokuD
- 4Boris IvanovD
- 17Tsvetoslav MarinovM
- 19Sámuel MajorM
- 10Jota LopesM
- 82Tomás SilvaM
- 11Boubacar HanneF
- 9Tsvetelin ChunchukovF
- 6Ricardo SousaM
- 7BuáM
- 70Ahmed AhmedovF
- 77Anton IvanovF
- 80Ángel Gomes ArevaloF
- 1Pedro VictorG
- 44Angel GranchovD
- 5Dimo KrastevD
- 14Daniel PavlovD
Form going into Botev Plovdiv vs Spartak Varna
Botev Plovdiv
All competitions we cover
- W1-0Cherno More Varna1 August 2026
- L2-3away to CSKA Sofia27 July 2026
- D1-1Lokomotiv Sofia20 July 2026
Spartak Varna
All competitions we cover
- W1-0Lokomotiv Plovdiv3 August 2026
- W3-0away to Cherno More Varna26 July 2026
- D2-2CSKA 194817 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
First League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Botev Plovdiv | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 21 | +2 | 23 |
| 7 | Spartak Varna | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Botev Plovdiv vs Spartak Varna
- 4 July 2026Botev Plovdiv 1–0 Spartak VarnaFriendlies Clubs
- 4 April 2026Botev Plovdiv 5–0 Spartak VarnaFirst League
- 28 January 2026Botev Plovdiv 1–0 Spartak VarnaFriendlies Clubs
- 13 December 2025Spartak Varna 0–2 Botev PlovdivCup
- 24 October 2025Spartak Varna 3–2 Botev PlovdivFirst League
Leading scorers: Botev Plovdiv and Spartak Varna
Botev Plovdiv
GoalsAssists
- C. Meotti10
Spartak Varna
GoalsAssists
- Georg Stojanovski11
- J. Tshitoku10
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Botev Plovdiv beat Spartak Varna 3–2. The model had leaned towards a win for Spartak Varna at 68% and given a win for Botev Plovdiv 15%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 7 matches like this one. The goals: Mascote 4' for Botev Plovdiv, A. Chandarov 28' for Botev Plovdiv, S. Kalu 39' for Botev Plovdiv, S. Petrov (own goal) 58' for Spartak Varna, A. Ahmedov 90+3' for Spartak Varna.