Gent vs KV Mechelen Jupiler Pro League prediction & result
Final score: Gent 2-0 KV Mechelen.
Before kick-off the model made it 62% Gent, 22% draw, 16% KV Mechelen — fair odds of 1.61, 4.55 and 6.25.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Gent at 62%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Gent vs KV Mechelen
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 33Davy RoefG
- 5Mouhamed El NgomD
- 16Christian BurgessD
- 44Siebe Van Der HeydenD
- 57Matties VolckaertM
- 27Tibe De VliegerM
- 22Leonardo LopesM
- 20Tiago AraújoM
- 37Abdelkahar KadriF
- 11Momodou SonkoF
- 47Josué VergaraF
- 3Maksim PaskotsiD
- 17Mathias DelorgeM
- 45Hyllarion GooreF
- 75Ibrahima CisseF
- 30Kjell PeersmanG
- 56Mamadou DialloD
- 8László BénesM
- 59El Hadji SeckF
- 28Mohammed El ÂdfaouiM
- 13Nacho MirasG
- 39Massimo DecoeneD
- 4Gora DioufD
- 3José MarsàD
- 23Moncef ZekriD
- 6Fredrik HammarM
- 8Dikeni SalifouM
- 11Bilal BafdiliM
- 26Dennis PraetM
- 9Myron Van BrederodeM
- 14Benito RamanF
- 20Kobe CorbanieD
- 19Malcolm Lohunanu-MbasiF
- 18Ian StruyfD
- 10Maxim KireevM
- 17Cedric Jan Van MeirvenneF
- 1Ortwin De WolfG
- 40Amine OuahabiM
- 7Thérence KoudouM
- 27Keano VanrafelghemF
Form going into Gent vs KV Mechelen
Gent
All competitions we cover
- W1-0away to IFK Goteborg6 August 2026
- D0-0LNZ Cherkasy30 July 2026
- D0-0away to LNZ Cherkasy23 July 2026
KV Mechelen
No earlier matches on record this season.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Jupiler Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Gent | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 6 | +14 | 28 |
| 11 | KV Mechelen | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 12 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Gent vs KV Mechelen
- 3 May 2026KV Mechelen 1–0 GentJupiler Pro League
- 6 April 2026Gent 1–1 KV MechelenJupiler Pro League
- 8 March 2026Gent 3–1 KV MechelenJupiler Pro League
- 16 August 2025KV Mechelen 1–1 GentJupiler Pro League
- 7 February 2025KV Mechelen 3–3 GentJupiler Pro League
Leading scorers: Gent and KV Mechelen
Gent
GoalsAssists
- I. Cisse40
KV Mechelen
No player in Jupiler Pro League's leading scorers — 13 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Gent beat KV Mechelen 2–0. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Gent at 62%. The goals: T. Araujo 37' for Gent, J. Vergara 45' for Gent. On expected goals it finished 1.16–0.34.