Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
vs
Rapid
Liga I prediction
Our model says: Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 0–1 Rapid
The model makes it 24% Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe, 29% draw, 47% Rapid — fair odds of 4.17, 3.45 and 2.13.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1 (14%).
Expected goals: Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 0.87, Rapid 1.46.
Both teams to score: 45%. Over 2.5 goals: 41%, under 2.5: 59%.
Model confidence: Medium — calls at this level have come off 46% of the time, over 2,920 settled matches.
One-sided: Rapid are clearly the stronger team on the model's ratings. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 68%, 20% were drawn and the underdog won 12%.
Published · updated
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 12 November 2026. Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe's rating is built from 15 Romanian Liga I matches and Rapid's from 55, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 760 matches.
Key facts
- Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe are 11th on 18 points from 15 games; Rapid are 3rd on 31 points from 15 games — Liga I.
- Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe have won 1 of their last 5 games, most recently a 2-1 win at home to FC Voluntari.
- Rapid have won 3 of their last 5 games, most recently a 1-1 draw away to Farul Constanta.
- Last 6 meetings: Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 3 wins to 1, 2 draws; the most recent, 20 July 2026, ended Rapid 1–0 Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe.
More Romanian Liga I predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe vs Rapid
Has the model earned this number?
Rapid at 47%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe vs Rapid
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
Liga I
- W2-1FC Voluntari8 November 2026
- D1-1away to Oțelul1 November 2026
- L0-5Universitatea Craiova26 October 2026
- D1-1away to Petrolul Ploiesti17 October 2026
- L0-2Dinamo Bucuresti9 October 2026
Rapid
Liga I
- D1-1away to Farul Constanta7 November 2026
- W2-0Csikszereda30 October 2026
- L1-4away to FCSB24 October 2026
- W2-0Corvinul Hunedoara17 October 2026
- W4-3away to Universitatea Cluj12 October 2026
What these results say
- Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Rapid scored in every one of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Liga I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 20 | -9 | 18 |
| 3 | Rapid | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 14 | +10 | 31 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
Chance to finish in the bottom three · 23% today
Rapid
Chance to finish top of the regular season · 7% today
From our Liga I season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. How to read this.
Head-to-head: Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe vs Rapid
- 20 July 2026Rapid 1–0 Sepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheLiga I
- 6 December 2024Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 2–0 RapidLiga I
- 5 August 2024Rapid 2–2 Sepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheLiga I
- 10 May 2024Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 3–2 RapidLiga I
- 15 April 2024Rapid 0–1 Sepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheLiga I
- 10 November 2023Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 0–0 RapidLiga I
Leading scorers: Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe and Rapid
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
No player in Liga I's leading scorers — 11 league goals as a side.
Rapid
GoalsAssists
- A. Dobre60
- F. Stojilković41
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe a 0% chance of the title and Rapid 7.1%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Rapid the highest probability at 47%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 0.87 expected goals for Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe against 1.46 for Rapid. Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe's attack/defence rating is 0.45/1.7 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.77/1.29 for Rapid.
How the model reaches 47% for Rapid to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 35% for Rapid to win. Then home advantage takes away 6 points, the level of the two sides takes away 1 point, Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe's ratings add 9 points and Rapid's ratings add 10 points, which lands on the published 47%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground35%
- Home advantage29%−6
- Both sides at this match's level28%−1
- Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe's ratings37%+9
- Rapid's ratings47%+10
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe at home · Rapid away
League matches only, Liga I, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Position by match
Sepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheRapid
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe are 11th after 15 Liga I matches (between 6th and 13th so far); Rapid are 3rd after 15 (between 1st and 7th). How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Liga I matches this season: Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 15, Rapid 15.
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe score most often in the 31–45 minute window (3 goals); Rapid have let in 0 there.
Rapid score most often in the 76–90 minute window (8 goals); Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe have let in 5 there.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.
The next 5 matches, by difficulty
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
- at Universitatea Cluj28 Nov · Liga Iwin 14%
- vs Corvinul Hunedoara5 Dec · Liga Iwin 31%
- at FCSB12 Dec · Liga Iwin 17%
- vs Csikszereda19 Dec · Liga Iwin 44%
- at Farul Constanta16 Jan · Liga Iwin 20%
Rapid
- vs FC Botosani28 Nov · Liga Iwin 56%
- at CFR 1907 Cluj5 Dec · Liga Iwin 33%
- vs Uta Arad12 Dec · Liga Iwin 55%
- at Dinamo Bucuresti19 Dec · Liga Iwin 25%
- vs Petrolul Ploiesti16 Jan · Liga Iwin 54%
Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.