Csikszereda
vs
Corvinul Hunedoara
Liga I prediction
Our model says: Csikszereda 0–1 Corvinul Hunedoara
The model makes it 29% Csikszereda, 31% draw, 40% Corvinul Hunedoara — fair odds of 3.45, 3.23 and 2.50.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
Expected goals: Csikszereda 0.91, Corvinul Hunedoara 1.17.
Both teams to score: 42%. Over 2.5 goals: 35%, under 2.5: 65%.
Model confidence: Medium — calls at this level have come off 46% of the time, over 2,920 settled matches.
Edge to Corvinul Hunedoara: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.
Published · updated
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 12 November 2026. Csikszereda's rating is built from 54 Romanian Liga I matches and Corvinul Hunedoara's from 15, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 760 matches.
Key facts
- Csikszereda are bottom on 6 points from 15 games; Corvinul Hunedoara are 7th on 22 points from 15 games — Liga I.
- Csikszereda have won 1 of their last 5 games, most recently a 0-0 draw at home to Universitatea Cluj.
- Corvinul Hunedoara have won 3 of their last 5 games, most recently a 1-0 win away to FCSB.
- Last 6 meetings: Corvinul Hunedoara 4 wins to 1, 1 draw; the most recent, 20 July 2026, ended Corvinul Hunedoara 3–0 Csikszereda.
More Romanian Liga I predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Csikszereda vs Corvinul Hunedoara
Has the model earned this number?
Corvinul Hunedoara at 40%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Csikszereda vs Corvinul Hunedoara
Csikszereda
Liga I
- D0-0Universitatea Cluj7 November 2026
- L0-2away to Rapid30 October 2026
- W2-1FC Voluntari24 October 2026
- D1-1away to Oțelul16 October 2026
- L0-1Universitatea Craiova11 October 2026
Corvinul Hunedoara
Liga I
- W1-0away to FCSB7 November 2026
- W2-0Arges Pitesti31 October 2026
- L0-3Universitatea Cluj23 October 2026
- L0-2away to Rapid17 October 2026
- W3-2FC Voluntari9 October 2026
What these results say
- Csikszereda failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Csikszereda conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Csikszereda had two goals or fewer.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Liga I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Csikszereda | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 28 | -19 | 6 |
| 7 | Corvinul Hunedoara | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 16 | +1 | 22 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
Csikszereda
Chance to finish in the bottom three · 95% today
Corvinul Hunedoara
Chance to finish in the top six · 30% today
From our Liga I season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. How to read this.
Head-to-head: Csikszereda vs Corvinul Hunedoara
- 20 July 2026Corvinul Hunedoara 3–0 CsikszeredaLiga I
- 30 November 2024Corvinul Hunedoara 1–1 CsikszeredaLiga II
- 8 May 2024Corvinul Hunedoara 3–1 CsikszeredaLiga II
- 13 April 2024Csikszereda 2–1 Corvinul HunedoaraLiga II
- 30 August 2023Corvinul Hunedoara 4–2 CsikszeredaCupa României
- 19 August 2023Corvinul Hunedoara 2–0 CsikszeredaLiga II
Leading scorers: Csikszereda and Corvinul Hunedoara
Csikszereda
GoalsAssists
- M. Eppel50
Corvinul Hunedoara
No player in Liga I's leading scorers — 17 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
How the call on Csikszereda v Corvinul Hunedoara has moved
First published on 7 Nov at 31% / 31% / 38% (home / draw / away). After 3 updates it reads 29% / 31% / 40%: the biggest move is Csikszereda's chance of winning, down 2 points.
- Csikszereda win29%▼ −2
- Draw31%=
- Corvinul Hunedoara win40%▲ +2
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Corvinul Hunedoara the highest probability at 40%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 0.91 expected goals for Csikszereda against 1.17 for Corvinul Hunedoara. Csikszereda's attack/defence rating is 0.43/1.85 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.57/1.42 for Corvinul Hunedoara.
How the model reaches 40% for Corvinul Hunedoara to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 35% for Corvinul Hunedoara to win. Then home advantage takes away 6 points, the level of the two sides takes away 1 point, Csikszereda's ratings add 6 points and Corvinul Hunedoara's ratings add 6 points, which lands on the published 40%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground35%
- Home advantage29%−6
- Both sides at this match's level28%−1
- Csikszereda's ratings34%+6
- Corvinul Hunedoara's ratings40%+6
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
Csikszereda at home · Corvinul Hunedoara away
League matches only, Liga I, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Position by match
CsikszeredaCorvinul Hunedoara
Csikszereda are 16th after 15 Liga I matches (between 15th and 16th so far); Corvinul Hunedoara are 7th after 15 (between 2nd and 10th). How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Liga I matches this season: Csikszereda 15, Corvinul Hunedoara 15.
Csikszereda score most often in the 46–60 minute window (3 goals); Corvinul Hunedoara have let in 3 there.
Corvinul Hunedoara score most often in the 61–75 minute window (5 goals); Csikszereda have let in 6 there.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.
The next 5 matches, by difficulty
Csikszereda
- at FCSB28 Nov · Liga Iwin 15%
- vs Arges Pitesti5 Dec · Liga Iwin 31%
- vs Farul Constanta12 Dec · Liga Iwin 29%
- at Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe19 Dec · Liga Iwin 25%
- vs FC Botosani16 Jan · Liga Iwin 31%
Corvinul Hunedoara
- vs Farul Constanta28 Nov · Liga Iwin 43%
- at Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe5 Dec · Liga Iwin 37%
- vs FC Botosani12 Dec · Liga Iwin 45%
- at CFR 1907 Cluj19 Dec · Liga Iwin 24%
- vs Uta Arad16 Jan · Liga Iwin 43%
Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.