CFR 1907 Cluj
vs
Oțelul
Liga I prediction
Our model says: CFR 1907 Cluj 1–0 Oțelul
The model makes it 54% CFR 1907 Cluj, 25% draw, 21% Oțelul — fair odds of 1.85, 4.00 and 4.76.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Expected goals: CFR 1907 Cluj 1.84, Oțelul 0.96.
Both teams to score: 52%. Over 2.5 goals: 53%, under 2.5: 47%.
Model confidence: High — calls at this level have come off 61% of the time, over 2,123 settled matches.
Edge to CFR 1907 Cluj: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.
Published · updated
Key facts
- CFR 1907 Cluj are 9th on 19 points from 15 games; Oțelul are 14th on 13 points from 15 games — Liga I.
- CFR 1907 Cluj are unbeaten in 3 games, most recently a 0-0 draw at home to Universitatea Craiova.
- Oțelul have not won in their last 5 games, most recently a 1-1 draw away to FC Botosani.
- Last 6 meetings: CFR 1907 Cluj 3 wins to 2, 1 draw; the most recent, 18 July 2026, ended Oțelul 2–1 CFR 1907 Cluj.
More Romanian Liga I predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: CFR 1907 Cluj vs Oțelul
Has the model earned this number?
CFR 1907 Cluj at 54%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into CFR 1907 Cluj vs Oțelul
CFR 1907 Cluj
Liga I
- D0-0Universitatea Craiova8 November 2026
- D1-1away to Petrolul Ploiesti31 October 2026
- D2-2Dinamo Bucuresti25 October 2026
- L0-1away to Uta Arad18 October 2026
- W1-0away to Arges Pitesti12 October 2026
Oțelul
Liga I
- D1-1away to FC Botosani9 November 2026
- D1-1Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe1 November 2026
- L3-4away to Farul Constanta25 October 2026
- D1-1Csikszereda16 October 2026
- L0-1away to FCSB10 October 2026
What these results say
- CFR 1907 Cluj failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for CFR 1907 Cluj had two goals or fewer.
- Oțelul did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Oțelul conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Oțelul scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Liga I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | CFR 1907 Cluj | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 19 |
| 14 | Oțelul | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 13 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
CFR 1907 Cluj
Chance to finish in the top six · 32% today
Oțelul
Chance to finish in the bottom three
From our Liga I season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. How to read this.
Head-to-head: CFR 1907 Cluj vs Oțelul
- 18 July 2026Oțelul 2–1 CFR 1907 ClujLiga I
- 18 January 2026CFR 1907 Cluj 1–0 OțelulLiga I
- 24 August 2025Oțelul 4–1 CFR 1907 ClujLiga I
- 22 December 2024CFR 1907 Cluj 3–2 OțelulLiga I
- 11 November 2024Oțelul 0–1 CFR 1907 ClujLiga I
- 27 February 2024Oțelul 2–2 CFR 1907 ClujLiga I
Leading scorers: CFR 1907 Cluj and Oțelul
CFR 1907 Cluj
GoalsAssists
- S. Dražić71
- A. Cordea62
Oțelul
GoalsAssists
- Patrick40
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives CFR 1907 Cluj the highest probability at 54%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.84 expected goals for CFR 1907 Cluj against 0.96 for Oțelul. CFR 1907 Cluj's attack/defence rating is 0.69/1.39 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.62/1.79 for Oțelul.
How the model reaches 54% for CFR 1907 Cluj to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for CFR 1907 Cluj to win. Then home advantage adds 7 points, CFR 1907 Cluj's ratings add 5 points and Oțelul's ratings add 6 points, which lands on the published 54%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground36%
- Home advantage43%+7
- CFR 1907 Cluj's ratings48%+5
- Oțelul's ratings54%+6
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
CFR 1907 Cluj at home · Oțelul away
League matches only, Liga I, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Position by match
CFR 1907 ClujOțelul
CFR 1907 Cluj are 9th after 15 Liga I matches (between 3rd and 15th so far); Oțelul are 14th after 15 (between 1st and 14th). How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Liga I matches this season: CFR 1907 Cluj 15, Oțelul 15.
CFR 1907 Cluj score most often in the 16–30 minute window (5 goals); Oțelul have let in 2 there.
Oțelul score most often in the 61–75 minute window (5 goals); CFR 1907 Cluj have let in 4 there.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.
The next 5 matches, by difficulty
CFR 1907 Cluj
- at FC Voluntari28 Nov · Liga Iwin 48%
- vs Rapid5 Dec · Liga Iwin 38%
- at Universitatea Cluj12 Dec · Liga Iwin 26%
- vs Corvinul Hunedoara19 Dec · Liga Iwin 47%
- at FCSB16 Jan · Liga Iwin 30%
Oțelul
- vs Uta Arad28 Nov · Liga Iwin 41%
- at Dinamo Bucuresti5 Dec · Liga Iwin 14%
- vs Petrolul Ploiesti12 Dec · Liga Iwin 40%
- at Universitatea Craiova19 Dec · Liga Iwin 9%
- at Arges Pitesti16 Jan · Liga Iwin 28%
Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.