Scotland vs Switzerland UEFA Nations League prediction & result
Final score: Scotland 0-3 Switzerland.
Before kick-off the model made it 22% Scotland, 26% draw, 52% Switzerland — fair odds of 4.55, 3.85 and 1.92. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-2.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts Switzerland at 52% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 1,294 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 57.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Scotland vs Switzerland
Line-ups
- 1A. GunnG
- 13J. HendryD
- 16S. McKennaD
- 4L. BinksD
- 22N. PattersonM
- 19L. FergusonM
- 8B. GilmourM
- 3A. RobertsonM
- 7J. McGinnM
- 20K. BowieF
- 9O. McBurnieF
- 11R. ChristieM
- 15J. McPakeF
- 23Kristi MontgomeryM
- 14L. MillerM
- 21S. BainG
- 6J. DoigD
- 17B. DoakF
- 10R. UreF
- 5S. WelshD
- 1G. KobelG
- 16Z. AthekameD
- 4N. ElvediD
- 5M. AkanjiD
- 13R. RodríguezD
- 8R. FreulerM
- 14A. JashariM
- 20M. AebischerM
- 9J. ManzambiM
- 11D. NdoyeM
- 10Z. AmdouniF
- 2S. BritschgiD
- 18E. CömertD
- 17C. IttenF
- 21M. KellerG
- 12Y. MvogoG
- 22F. RiederM
- 23A. SanchesM
- 7I. SchmidtD
- 6V. SierroM
Form going into Scotland vs Switzerland
Scotland
UEFA Nations League
- D0-0away to Slovenia26 September 2026
Switzerland
UEFA Nations League
- W3-0away to North Macedonia26 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
UEFA Nations League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Scotland | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 4 |
| 1 | Switzerland | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 1 | +10 | 12 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Scotland vs Switzerland
- 19 June 2024Scotland 1–1 SwitzerlandEuro Championship
Leading scorers: Scotland and Switzerland
Scotland
No player in UEFA Nations League's leading scorers — 3 league goals as a side.
Switzerland
GoalsAssists
- Z. Amdouni31
- D. Ndoye23
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Switzerland won 3–0 at Scotland. The model had made a win for Switzerland its most likely outcome, at 52%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–0. The goals: Ricardo Rodríguez 12' for Switzerland, Nico Elvedi 55' for Switzerland, Zeki Amdouni 82' for Switzerland. Sent off: Jack Hendry (Scotland) 11'.