Deportivo Pereira vs Santa Fe Primera A prediction & result
Final score: Deportivo Pereira 1-2 Santa Fe.
Before kick-off the model made it 27% Deportivo Pereira, 31% draw, 42% Santa Fe — fair odds of 3.70, 3.23 and 2.38.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Santa Fe at 42%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals, and a card each of the 2 sendings-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Deportivo Pereira vs Santa Fe
Line-ups
- 1Yimy GómezG
- 21W. PachecoD
- 2S. UrreaD
- 6D. OrtizD
- 23T. BovoneD
- 5J. BermúdezM
- 20J. MonroyM
- 10S. AcostaM
- 37L. MorenoM
- 11J. LargachaM
- 18M. PérezF
- 17R. RenteríaD
- 19M. AguirreM
- 12J. BetancourthG
- 29M. DiazF
- 26J. MontoyaM
- 14Ederson MorenoM
- 8Felipe MosqueraF
- 24M. PalaciosM
- 7Á. PlataF
- 1A. MosqueraG
- 13H. PalaciosD
- 18E. OliveraD
- 3V. MorenoD
- 32C. MaflaD
- 77J. ObrianM
- 6K. ToscanoM
- 7J. TorresM
- 14L. PalaciosM
- 19N. BustosF
- 9F. FagúndezF
- 10A. ZapataM
- 24Jeison AnguloD
- 12W. AsprillaG
- 17M. LoveraF
- 21E. MurilloM
- 39Cristhian PortocarreroM
- 11H. RodallegaF
- 15I. ScarpetaD
- 36Jhon TenorioF
Form going into Deportivo Pereira vs Santa Fe
Deportivo Pereira
All competitions we cover
- D0-0Internacional de Bogota26 September 2026
Santa Fe
All competitions we cover
- L0-1Deportivo Cali23 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Primera A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Deportivo Pereira | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
| 5 | Santa Fe | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 28 | 18 | +10 | 31 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Deportivo Pereira vs Santa Fe
- 28 January 2026Santa Fe 2–2 Deportivo PereiraPrimera A
- 13 July 2025Deportivo Pereira 2–2 Santa FePrimera A
- 26 January 2025Santa Fe 2–1 Deportivo PereiraPrimera A
- 4 October 2024Santa Fe 1–1 Deportivo PereiraPrimera A
- 18 February 2024Deportivo Pereira 1–0 Santa FePrimera A
Leading scorers: Deportivo Pereira and Santa Fe
Deportivo Pereira
No player in Primera A's leading scorers — 16 league goals as a side.
Santa Fe
GoalsAssists
- H. Rodallega173
- F. Fagúndez105
- N. Bustos105
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Santa Fe won 2–1 at Deportivo Pereira. The model had made a win for Santa Fe its most likely outcome, at 42%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Nahuel Bustos 5' for Santa Fe, Marco Pérez (penalty) 45+5' for Deportivo Pereira, Nahuel Bustos 60' for Santa Fe. Sent off: Luis Palacios (Santa Fe) 64', Sebastián Urrea Arbeláez (Deportivo Pereira) 78'.