5 August 2026, 16:30 UTC

Aarhus vs Sabah FA UEFA Champions League prediction & result

New Vejlby Stadium, Aarhus
Full time2 – 1

Final score: Aarhus 2-1 Sabah FA.

Before kick-off the model made it 57% Aarhus, 23% draw, 20% Sabah FA — fair odds of 1.75, 4.35 and 5.00.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

The tie

First leg of the UEFA Champions League 3rd Qualifying Round tie. Second leg: Sabah FA v Aarhus, 11 Aug →

Sabah FA went through 5–2 on aggregate.

Has the model earned this number?

Aarhus at 57%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Aarhus97%Draw3%Sabah FA0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

🔁F. Tingagerout: J. Andersen
29'
⚽J. Bogere
31'
37'
Veljko Simić
39'
Joy Lance Mickels
🔁J. Jonssonout: R. Carstensen
46'
⚽J. Bogereassist: M. Knudsen
63'
65'
🔁K. Parrisout: O. Mbina
66'
⚽V. Simicassist: U. Rakhmonaliyev
🔁F. Emmeryout: G. Links
71'
Gift Links
73'
Magnus Knudsen
74'
79'
🔁A. Isayevout: X. Severina
🔁C. Roslerout: C. Storch
81'
🔁M. Andersonout: J. Serra
81'
90+1'
•Christian Storch
90+3'
🔁J. Mickelsout: Y. Lachaab
90+3'
🔁V. Simicout: A. Khaybulaev

Match stats — Aarhus vs Sabah FA

44%Possession56%
10Shots15
3On target4
6Corners5

Line-ups

Aarhus 3-4-3
  • 21M. HedenstadG
  • 25C. RoslerD
  • 5F. TingagerD
  • 19E. KahlD
  • 23M. AndersonM
  • 4M. KnudsenM
  • 16J. JonssonM
  • 39F. EmmeryM
  • 31T. BechF
  • 28J. BogereF
  • 10K. Arnstad
Substitutes
  • 1J. HansenG
  • 11G. LinksM
  • 29R. CarstensenD
  • 26J. AndersenD
  • 45C. StorchD
  • 13J. SerraF
  • 7M. SolbakkenM
  • 8S. JorgensenM
  • 27S. TchamcheF
Coach: Jakob Poulsen
Sabah FA 4-2-3-1
  • 92S. PokatilovG
  • 80A. ZedadkaD
  • 3S. SolvetD
  • 5R. DashdamirovD
  • 27T. PuchaczD
  • 7U. RakhmonaliyevM
  • 13I. LepinjicaM
  • 11K. ParrisM
  • 10A. IsayevM
  • 21V. SimicM
  • 20J. MickelsF
Substitutes
  • 94R. MirzammadovG
  • 1A. RamazanovG
  • 88R. FernandesM
  • 16R. RustamliM
  • 33E. A. Santos JuniorD
  • 23Y. LachaabF
  • 8C. NwachukwuF
  • 17T. Mutallimov
  • 99O. MbinaF
Coach: Valdas Dambrauskas

Form going into Aarhus vs Sabah FA

Aarhus

All competitions we cover

  • D2-2away to Lyngby1 August 2026
  • W3-0away to Lech Poznan29 July 2026
  • D1-1Brondby25 July 2026
  • L1-4Lech Poznan21 July 2026

Sabah FA

All competitions we cover

  • W2-0away to KuPS28 July 2026
  • W1-0KuPS21 July 2026

What these results say

  • Aarhus scored in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Aarhus failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Aarhus conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Leading scorers: Aarhus and Sabah FA

Aarhus

No leading scorers listed yet.

Sabah FA

GoalsAssists

  • J. Mickels41

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Aarhus beat Sabah FA 2–1. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Aarhus at 57%. The goals: J. Bogere 31' for Aarhus, J. Bogere 63' for Aarhus, V. Simic 66' for Sabah FA.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.