RB Bragantino vs Corinthians Serie A prediction & result
Final score: RB Bragantino 0-2 Corinthians.
Before kick-off the model made it 51% RB Bragantino, 25% draw, 24% Corinthians — fair odds of 1.96, 4.00 and 4.17.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
RB Bragantino at 51%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — RB Bragantino vs Corinthians
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 18Tiago VolpiG
- 34A. HurtadoD
- 4Alix ViniciusD
- 14Pedro Henrique
- 29Juninho CapixabaD
- 7Eric RamiresM
- 20RodriguinhoM
- 21Lucas BarbosaM
- 8Eduardo SashaM
- 30H. MosqueraM
- 9I. PittaF
- 1CleitonG
- 15I. SosaM
- 22Gustavo NevesM
- 17VinicinhoF
- 6GabrielM
- 35Matheus FernandesM
- 3Eduardo SantosD
- 2G. RodriguezD
- 57MarcelinhoM
- 1Hugo SouzaG
- 2MatheuzinhoD
- 3Gabriel PaulistaD
- 13Gustavo HenriqueD
- 21Matheus BiduD
- 29AllanM
- 14RanieleM
- 37Kaio CesarM
- 8R. GarroM
- 7Breno BidonM
- 18Pedro RaulF
- 51KaueG
- 5Andre RamalhoD
- 26F. AngileriD
- 77J. LingardM
- 23M. PereiraM
- 20P. MilansD
- 46HugoD
- 56Gui NegaoF
- 19A. CarrilloM
Form going into RB Bragantino vs Corinthians
RB Bragantino
All competitions we cover
- L0-1away to Atletico Mineiro29 July 2026
- D0-0Coritiba26 July 2026
- D1-1away to Fluminense17 July 2026
Corinthians
All competitions we cover
- D0-0Atletico Paranaense30 July 2026
- D1-1away to Bahia26 July 2026
- W3-0Remo23 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Brazil Serie A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | RB Bragantino | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 44 | 39 | +5 | 47 |
| 17 | Corinthians | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 36 | 42 | -6 | 37 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: RB Bragantino vs Corinthians
- 12 February 2026Corinthians 2–0 RB BragantinoSerie A
- 15 January 2026RB Bragantino 3–0 CorinthiansPaulista - A1
- 5 November 2025RB Bragantino 2–1 CorinthiansSerie A
- 13 July 2025Corinthians 1–2 RB BragantinoSerie A
- 16 January 2025RB Bragantino 1–2 CorinthiansPaulista - A1
The result against the call
Corinthians won 2–0 at RB Bragantino. The model had leaned towards a win for RB Bragantino at 51% and given a win for Corinthians 24%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: R. Garro 59' for Corinthians, Pedro Raul 87' for Corinthians. On expected goals it finished 0.37–1.27.