8 August 2026, 18:30 UTC

VfL Wolfsburg vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern 2. Bundesliga prediction & result

Volkswagen Arena, Wolfsburg
Full time0 – 0

Final score: VfL Wolfsburg 0-0 1. FC Kaiserslautern.

Before kick-off the model made it 62% VfL Wolfsburg, 23% draw, 15% 1. FC Kaiserslautern — fair odds of 1.61, 4.35 and 6.67.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

VfL Wolfsburg at 62%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

VfL Wolfsburg6%Draw92%1. FC Kaiserslautern2%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

35'
Semih Şahin
66'
🔁M. Ritterout: I. Kanate
🔁F. Hornbyout: A. Besio
68'
🔁R. Glatzelout: K. Shiogai
68'
78'
🔁F. Kunzeout: L. Robinson
78'
🔁M. Berishaout: E. Yardimci
🔁Vini Souzaout: M. Arnold
81'
🔁E. Rexhbecajout: Y. Gerhardt
81'
🔁M. Damarout: M. Svanberg
89'
90+1'
🔁S. Astaout: E. Wekesser

Match stats — VfL Wolfsburg vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern

63%Possession37%
19Shots8
5On target3
9Corners2
1.26xG0.86

Goals against chances

VfL Wolfsburg0 from 1.26 xGless than the chances were worth
1. FC Kaiserslautern0 from 0.86 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

VfL Wolfsburg 4-1-4-1
  • 30J. ZielinskiG
  • 2K. FischerD
  • 6H. WahlD
  • 22M. AngelyD
  • 26S. KumbediD
  • 5Vini SouzaM
  • 10F. HornbyM
  • 37E. RexhbecajM
  • 20M. DamarM
  • 11F. ReeseM
  • 19R. GlatzelF
Substitutes
  • 12P. PervanG
  • 27M. ArnoldM
  • 31Y. GerhardtM
  • 32M. SvanbergM
  • 18J. AdjeteyD
  • 17D. PejcinovicF
  • 23A. BesioF
  • 33CleitonD
  • 7K. ShiogaiF
Coach: Dieter Hecking
1. FC Kaiserslautern 3-4-2-1
  • 1J. KrahlG
  • 33J. ElvediD
  • 4M. GyamfiD
  • 14J. RasmussenD
  • 2S. AstaM
  • 6F. KunzeM
  • 8S. SahinM
  • 22M. HaasM
  • 15N. SkyttaF
  • 7M. RitterF
  • 20M. BerishaF
Substitutes
  • 34Y. OnohiolG
  • 13E. WekesserD
  • 37L. RobinsonM
  • 44D. HofmeisterM
  • 17E. YardimciF
  • 5K. FreesD
  • 39T. Fidjeu-TazemetaM
  • 11I. KanateF
  • 41D. SchrammM
Coach: Torsten Lieberknecht

2. Bundesliga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
5VfL Wolfsburg115422616+1019
31. FC Kaiserslautern11632107+321

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: VfL Wolfsburg vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern

  • 3 March 2012FC Kaiserslautern 0–0 VfL WolfsburgBundesliga
  • 24 September 2011VfL Wolfsburg 1–0 FC KaiserslauternBundesliga
  • 7 May 2011VfL Wolfsburg 1–2 FC KaiserslauternBundesliga
  • 11 December 2010FC Kaiserslautern 0–0 VfL WolfsburgBundesliga

Leading scorers: VfL Wolfsburg and 1. FC Kaiserslautern

VfL Wolfsburg

GoalsAssists

  • F. Reese57
  • R. Glatzel51
  • A. Bernhardsson43

1. FC Kaiserslautern

No player in 2. Bundesliga's leading scorers — 10 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

VfL Wolfsburg and 1. FC Kaiserslautern drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for VfL Wolfsburg at 62% and given a draw 23%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. On expected goals it finished 1.26–0.86.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.