9 August 2026, 19:00 UTC

Palmeiras vs Internacional Serie A prediction & result

Nubank Parque, Sao Paulo
Full time0 – 0

Final score: Palmeiras 0-0 Internacional.

Before kick-off the model made it 45% Palmeiras, 23% draw, 32% Internacional — fair odds of 2.22, 4.35 and 3.13.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Palmeiras at 45%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Palmeiras5%Draw90%Internacional5%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Murilo
39'
52'
Paulinho Paula
🔁R. Sosaout: Vitor Roque
58'
🔁Mauricioout: J. Lopez
58'
63'
🔁Matheus Bahiaout: B. Aguirre
70'
Braian Aguirre
72'
Matheus Cunha
🔁Allan Eliasout: Felipe Anderson
77'
🔁E. Martinezout: A. Giay
77'
77'
🔁Alan Patrickout: Juninho
77'
🔁Bruno Henriqueout: Ronaldo
88'
🔁J. Carboneroout: Joao Bezerra

Match stats — Palmeiras vs Internacional

62%Possession38%
22Shots9
3On target2
5Corners2
1.19xG0.24

Goals against chances

Palmeiras0 from 1.19 xGless than the chances were worth
Internacional0 from 0.24 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Palmeiras 3-4-2-1
  • 1Carlos MiguelG
  • 32E. MartinezD
  • 26MuriloD
  • 2A. BarbozaD
  • 40Allan EliasM
  • 8Andreas PereiraM
  • 17Marlon FreitasM
  • 22J. PiquerezM
  • 18MauricioF
  • 11J. AriasF
  • 19R. SosaF
Substitutes
  • 14Marcelo LombaG
  • 7Felipe AndersonM
  • 9Vitor RoqueF
  • 37Riquelme Fillipi
  • 56Arthur GabrielD
  • 50Luis PachecoM
  • 30Lucas EvangelistaM
  • 42J. LopezF
  • 4A. GiayD
Coach: Ferreira Abel
Internacional 3-4-2-1
  • 23Matheus CunhaG
  • 15Bruno GomesD
  • 3G. MaripanD
  • 4F. TorresD
  • 28VitinhoM
  • 27Paulinho PaulaM
  • 8Bruno HenriqueM
  • 6Matheus BahiaM
  • 26A. BernabeiF
  • 7J. CarboneroF
  • 10Alan PatrickF
Substitutes
  • 12AnthoniG
  • 25G. MercadoD
  • 18JuninhoD
  • 35B. AguirreD
  • 53L. F. de Morais FranciscoD
  • 16RonaldoM
  • 9AlerrandroF
  • 30CalebeM
  • 31AllexM
Coach: Paulo Pezzolano

Form going into Palmeiras vs Internacional

Palmeiras

All competitions we cover

  • W4-0away to Vitoria30 July 2026
  • L1-2Atletico Mineiro26 July 2026
  • W3-1away to Coritiba22 July 2026

Internacional

All competitions we cover

  • D1-1Flamengo29 July 2026
  • L0-2away to Atletico Paranaense25 July 2026
  • L1-2Cruzeiro23 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Brazil Serie A table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
2Palmeiras34211036223+3973
16Internacional34911143842-438

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Palmeiras vs Internacional

  • 13 February 2026Internacional 1–3 PalmeirasSerie A
  • 13 September 2025Palmeiras 4–1 InternacionalSerie A
  • 16 April 2025Internacional 0–1 PalmeirasSerie A
  • 4 August 2024Internacional 1–1 PalmeirasSerie A
  • 17 April 2024Palmeiras 0–1 InternacionalSerie A

The full Palmeiras vs Internacional record →

Leading scorers: Palmeiras and Internacional

Palmeiras

GoalsAssists

  • J. López107
  • Maurício101

Internacional

GoalsAssists

  • J. Carbonero74

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Palmeiras and Internacional drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Palmeiras at 45% and given a draw 23%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. On expected goals it finished 1.19–0.24.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.