Flamengo vs Vitoria Serie A prediction & result
Final score: Flamengo 2-0 Vitoria.
Before kick-off the model made it 69% Flamengo, 20% draw, 11% Vitoria — fair odds of 1.45, 5.00 and 9.09.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
All Brazilian Serie A predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Flamengo at 69%: of 501 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.5% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Flamengo vs Vitoria
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1A. RossiG
- 2G. VarelaD
- 3Leo OrtizD
- 4Leo PereiraD
- 6Ayrton LucasD
- 5E. PulgarM
- 21JorginhoM
- 15J. CarrascalM
- 10G. de ArrascaetaM
- 16Samuel LinoM
- 9PedroF
- 42A. da Silva VenturaG
- 49Dyogo AlvesG
- 8S. NiguezM
- 13DaniloD
- 27Bruno HenriqueF
- 22Emerson RoyalD
- 19G. PlataF
- 52Evertton AraujoM
- 64Wallace YanF
- 1Lucas ArcanjoG
- 70FabianoD
- 95Caique GoncalvesD
- 2E. BritezD
- 83JamersonD
- 6Emmanuel MartinezM
- 15WalaceM
- 33ErickM
- 88Ze VitorM
- 10MatheuzinhoM
- 91ReneF
- 71YuriG
- 35FintelmanG
- 11OsvaldoF
- 7MarinhoF
- 8T. PochettinoM
- 98MatheusinhoD
- 79Renato KayzerF
- 23FabricioF
- 13RamonD
Form going into Flamengo vs Vitoria
Flamengo
All competitions we cover
- D1-1away to Internacional29 July 2026
- D1-1Sao Paulo26 July 2026
- W4-0away to Chapecoense23 July 2026
Vitoria
All competitions we cover
- L0-4Palmeiras30 July 2026
- L0-2away to Remo26 July 2026
- D0-0away to Botafogo23 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Brazil Serie A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 34 | 23 | 7 | 4 | 71 | 29 | +42 | 76 |
| 15 | Vitoria | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 38 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Flamengo vs Vitoria
- 15 May 2026Vitoria 2–0 FlamengoCopa Do Brasil
- 23 April 2026Flamengo 2–1 VitoriaCopa Do Brasil
- 11 February 2026Vitoria 1–2 FlamengoSerie A
- 26 August 2025Flamengo 8–0 VitoriaSerie A
- 6 April 2025Vitoria 1–2 FlamengoSerie A
Leading scorers: Flamengo and Vitoria
Flamengo
GoalsAssists
- Pedro206
- Samuel Lino129
Vitoria
GoalsAssists
- Rene101
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Flamengo beat Vitoria 2–0. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Flamengo at 69%. The goals: E. Pulgar 14' for Flamengo, Bruno Henrique 80' for Flamengo. On expected goals it finished 1.13–0.18.