Queen's Park
vs
Partick
Championship prediction
Our model says: Queen's Park 0–1 Partick
The model makes it 21% Queen's Park, 28% draw, 51% Partick — fair odds of 4.76, 3.57 and 1.96. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1 (14%).
Expected goals: Queen's Park 0.81, Partick 1.55.
Both teams to score: 44%. Over 2.5 goals: 42%, under 2.5: 58%.
Model confidence: High — calls at this level have come off 59% of the time, over 1,491 settled matches.
One-sided: Partick are clearly the stronger team on the model's ratings. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 68%, 20% were drawn and the underdog won 12%.
Published
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 24 October 2026. Queen's Park's rating is built from 47 Scottish Championship matches and Partick's from 47, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most.
Key facts
- Queen's Park are bottom on 7 points from 11 games; Partick are 2nd on 22 points from 11 games — Championship.
- Queen's Park have won 1 of their last 5 games, most recently a 0-2 defeat away to Morton.
- Partick are unbeaten in their last 5 games (3 won), most recently a 1-1 draw away to Dunfermline.
- Last 6 meetings: Partick 3 wins to 0, 3 draws; the most recent, 29 August 2026, ended Partick 0–0 Queen's Park.
More Scottish Championship predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Queen's Park vs Partick
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Partick at 51% here. Across 4,534 settled matches (as of 24 October 2026), 1,113 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 56.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.5%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Queen's Park vs Partick
Queen's Park
Championship
- L0-2away to Morton17 October 2026
- W2-1Inverness CT13 October 2026
- L0-2away to Raith Rovers10 October 2026
- L1-2away to Arbroath25 September 2026
- L0-2Ayr Utd18 September 2026
Partick
Championship
- D1-1away to Dunfermline20 October 2026
- W1-0away to Ayr Utd16 October 2026
- W2-1away to Livingston10 October 2026
- W3-0Arbroath3 October 2026
- D0-0Raith Rovers19 September 2026
What these results say
- Queen's Park conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Queen's Park failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Partick went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- Partick scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Queen's Park | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 18 | -12 | 7 |
| 2 | Partick | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 12 | 4 | +8 | 22 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Queen's Park vs Partick
- 29 August 2026Partick 0–0 Queen's ParkChampionship
- 1 May 2026Partick 1–1 Queen's ParkChampionship
- 27 December 2025Queen's Park 2–2 PartickChampionship
- 1 November 2025Partick 5–0 Queen's ParkChampionship
- 30 September 2025Queen's Park 0–1 PartickChampionship
- 11 March 2025Queen's Park 0–2 PartickChampionship
The two sides
Queen's Park carry a model rating of 5.79 against 6.28 for Partick. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 0.81 goals for Queen's Park and 1.55 for Partick. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Queen's Park rate 0.33 in attack and 2.73 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Partick rate 0.47 and 1.51.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Queen's Park a 0% chance of the title and Partick 31.7%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 2,204 correct results out of 4,575 settled predictions (48%), with 454 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Once the match starts, the win probabilities at the top update live from the score, the clock and any sendings-off.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Partick the highest probability at 51%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 0.81 expected goals for Queen's Park against 1.55 for Partick. Queen's Park's attack/defence rating is 0.33/2.73 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.47/1.51 for Partick.
How the model reaches 51% for Partick to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for Partick to win. Then home advantage takes away 7 points, Queen's Park's ratings add 54 points and Partick's ratings take away 32 points, which lands on the published 51%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground36%
- Home advantage29%−7
- Queen's Park's ratings83%+54
- Partick's ratings51%−32
Each step adds one input to the step before. In another order the steps would differ in size; the end point would not.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
Queen's Park at home · Partick away
League matches only, Championship, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Championship matches this season: Queen's Park 11, Partick 11.
Queen's Park score most often in the 16–30 minute window (2 goals); Partick have let in 0 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 3 matches, by difficulty
Queen's Park
- at Stenhousemuir14 Nov · Championshipwin 12%
- vs Livingston21 Nov · Championshipwin 27%
- vs Arbroath5 Dec · Championshipwin 40%
Partick
- vs Inverness CT14 Nov · Championshipwin 51%
- at Raith Rovers21 Nov · Championshipwin 32%
- vs Dunfermline5 Dec · Championshipwin 49%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.