Scottish Championship predictions

14 matches ahead, from 3 October to 17 October, each with the model's win / draw / win split and most likely score. The clearest favourite: Arbroath, 65% against Morton. How the model works.

Saturday 3 October — 3 matches

14:00 UTC Livingston vs Ayr Utd — model 55% / 25% / 20%, most likely 2-0, fair odds 1.82 · 4.00 · 5.00.
14:00 UTC Partick vs Arbroath — model 42% / 29% / 29%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.38 · 3.45 · 3.45.
14:00 UTC Morton vs Raith Rovers — model 27% / 27% / 46%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 3.70 · 3.70 · 2.17.

Saturday 10 October — 5 matches

14:00 UTC Livingston vs Partick — model 38% / 29% / 33%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.63 · 3.45 · 3.03.
14:00 UTC Inverness CT vs Stenhousemuir — model 30% / 30% / 40%, most likely 0-1, fair odds 3.33 · 3.33 · 2.50.
14:00 UTC Raith Rovers vs Queen's Park — model 56% / 25% / 19%, most likely 2-0, fair odds 1.79 · 4.00 · 5.26.
14:00 UTC Ayr Utd vs Dunfermline — model 27% / 29% / 44%, most likely 0-1, fair odds 3.70 · 3.45 · 2.27.
14:00 UTC Arbroath vs Morton — model 65% / 21% / 14%, most likely 2-0, fair odds 1.54 · 4.76 · 7.14.

Tuesday 13 October — 1 match

18:45 UTC Queen's Park vs Inverness CT — model 31% / 29% / 40%, most likely 0-1, fair odds 3.23 · 3.45 · 2.50.

Friday 16 October — 1 match

18:30 UTC Ayr Utd vs Partick — model 27% / 28% / 45%, most likely 0-1, fair odds 3.70 · 3.57 · 2.22.

Saturday 17 October — 4 matches

14:00 UTC Inverness CT vs Arbroath — model 33% / 29% / 38%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 3.03 · 3.45 · 2.63.
14:00 UTC Morton vs Queen's Park — model 39% / 29% / 32%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.56 · 3.45 · 3.13.
14:00 UTC Dunfermline vs Livingston — model 45% / 28% / 27%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.22 · 3.57 · 3.70.
14:00 UTC Stenhousemuir vs Raith Rovers — model 49% / 28% / 23%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.04 · 3.57 · 4.35.