Qingdao Jonoon
vs
Wuhan Three Towns
Super League prediction
The model makes it 11% Qingdao Jonoon, 19% draw, 70% Wuhan Three Towns — fair odds of 9.09, 5.26 and 1.43. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-2 (12%).
Expected goals: Qingdao Jonoon 0.76, Wuhan Three Towns 2.24.
Both teams to score: 48%. Over 2.5 goals: 58%, under 2.5: 42%.
Model confidence: High.
Model insights
Form going into this match
Qingdao Jonoon
- L1-3away to Shandong Luneng14 August 2026
- L0-1Shanghai Shenhua8 August 2026
- L0-2away to Qingdao Youth Island2 August 2026
- L0-2Tianjin Teda25 July 2026
- L1-5away to Henan Jianye17 July 2026
Wuhan Three Towns
- L2-3SHANGHAI SIPG14 August 2026
- D1-1away to Chengdu Better City1 August 2026
- W1-0Chongqing Tongliang Long25 July 2026
- W2-0Sichuan Jiuniu18 July 2026
- L2-3away to Dalian Zhixing4 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Qingdao Jonoon | 23 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 31 | 44 | -13 | 14 |
| 15 | Wuhan Three Towns | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 15 |
Where the two sides stand. Full tables
Leading scorers
Qingdao Jonoon
No league goals recorded yet.
Wuhan Three Towns
- J. Cádiz13 goals6 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
A clear gap in the ratings
Qingdao Jonoon carry a model rating of 5.72 against 6.42 for Wuhan Three Towns. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
Recent form (most recent last): Qingdao Jonoon L-L-L-L-L; Wuhan Three Towns L-W-W-D-L.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 0.76 goals for Qingdao Jonoon and 2.24 for Wuhan Three Towns. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Qingdao Jonoon rate 0.30 in attack and 2.91 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Wuhan Three Towns rate 0.55 and 1.34.
That points to 58% for over two and a half goals and 48% for both teams to score.
The three most likely scorelines are 0-2 (12%), 0-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%).
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 350 correct results out of 734 settled predictions (48%), with 70 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Wuhan Three Towns the highest probability at 70%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 0.76 expected goals for Qingdao Jonoon against 2.24 for Wuhan Three Towns. Qingdao Jonoon's attack/defence rating is 0.3/2.91 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.55/1.34 for Wuhan Three Towns.