29 August 2026, 19:00 UTC

NK Varazdin vs Rudes HNL prediction & result

Gradski stadion Varazdin
Full time2 – 0

Final score: NK Varazdin 2-0 Rudes.

Before kick-off the model made it 67% NK Varazdin, 20% draw, 13% Rudes — fair odds of 1.49, 5.00 and 7.69. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts NK Varazdin at 67% here. Across 2,959 settled matches (as of 3 October 2026), 277 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 60.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 74.5%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

NK Varazdin99%Draw1%Rudes0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

36'
Xavier Fernandes
🔁G. Sikosekout: E. Durakovic
46'
58'
🔁C. Sahoout: T. Kolega
59'
🔁Xaviout: J. Blagaic
•Novak Tepšić
60'
🔁I. Tavaresout: M. Vuk
61'
63'
Ante Sušak
⚽Ivan Mamut (pen)
64'
⚽A. Latkovicassist: I. Mamut
72'
🔁F. Maglicaout: L. Posinkovic
74'
🔁M. Marinaout: T. Duvnjak
74'
78'
🔁I. Djoricout: L. Popovic
78'
🔁A. Susakout: J. Bralic
81'
🔁L. Ilecicout: K. Lovric
⚽I. Canjugaassist: M. Vuk
84'
87'
Kristijan Lovrić
🔁I. Mamutout: L. Skaricic
90+1'

Match stats — NK Varazdin vs Rudes

56%Possession44%
11Shots9
3On target3
9Corners4
1.93xG0.36

Goals against chances

NK Varazdin2 from 1.93 xGabout what the chances were worth
Rudes0 from 0.36 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

NK Varazdin 4-2-3-1
  • 33J. SilicG
  • 23F. MaglicaD
  • 13M. MladenovskiD
  • 16N. TepsicD
  • 20G. SikosekD
  • 28I. CanjugaM
  • 24M. MarinaM
  • 10A. LatkovicM
  • 22L. MamicM
  • 38I. TavaresM
  • 17I. MamutF
Substitutes
  • 1R. McCrorieG
  • 12P. BockajD
  • 4L. SkaricicD
  • 5S. LesjakD
  • 3E. DurakovicD
  • 30L. PosinkovicD
  • 6D. PuclinM
  • 21I. PosavecM
  • 8T. DuvnjakM
Coach: Nikola Safaric
Rudes 4-2-3-1
  • 95L. RogicG
  • 14B. UnusicD
  • 5M. StolnikD
  • 4V. CeljakD
  • 21A. SusakD
  • 28XaviM
  • 24I. DjoricM
  • 7L. IlecicM
  • 15N. SkokoM
  • 11J. PoldrugacM
  • 18C. SahoF
Substitutes
  • 1F. HoljevacG
  • 20J. BlagaicM
  • 8L. PopovicM
  • 10V. SeitzM
  • 34K. LovricF
  • 2T. KolegaF
  • 35J. BralicF
  • 17J. PejicF
Coach: Alen Peternac

Form going into NK Varazdin vs Rudes

NK Varazdin

  • L1-3away to Dinamo Zagreb22 August 2026

Rudes

  • W4-1NK Lokomotiva Zagreb21 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

HNL table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
4NK Varazdin8431137+615
10Rudes81161024-144

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: NK Varazdin vs Rudes

  • 22 April 2024Rudes 0–2 NK VarazdinHNL
  • 9 February 2024NK Varazdin 1–0 RudesHNL
  • 28 October 2023Rudes 0–0 NK VarazdinHNL
  • 12 August 2023NK Varazdin 2–0 RudesHNL
  • 12 July 2023Rudes 0–1 NK VarazdinFriendlies Clubs
  • 30 April 2022Rudes 3–0 NK VarazdinFirst NL

Leading scorers: NK Varazdin and Rudes

NK Varazdin

  • I. Canjuga3 goals2 assists
  • L. Mamić3 goals
  • A. Latković2 goals1 assist

Rudes

  • L. Ilečić2 goals2 assists

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.