Jeonbuk Motors
vs
Jeju United FC
K League 1 prediction & result
Final score: Jeonbuk Motors 1-3 Jeju United FC.
Before kick-off the model made it 37% Jeonbuk Motors, 26% draw, 37% Jeju United FC — fair odds of 2.70, 3.85 and 2.70. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
Expected goals: Jeonbuk Motors 1.41, Jeju United FC 1.43.
Both teams to score: 58%. Over 2.5 goals: 54%, under 2.5: 46%.
Model confidence: Low.
Model insights
Form going into this match
Jeonbuk Motors
- D0-0FC Seoul1 August 2026
- W2-0away to Pohang Steelers25 July 2026
- D0-0Daejeon Citizen21 July 2026
- L0-1away to Incheon United18 July 2026
Jeju United FC
- D3-3Incheon United2 August 2026
- W2-1away to Gwangju FC26 July 2026
- D1-1Gangwon FC21 July 2026
- W2-1Pohang Steelers18 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context.
K League 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Jeonbuk Motors | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 28 | 19 | +9 | 34 |
| 5 | Jeju United FC | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 25 | 24 | +1 | 31 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full tables
Leading scorers
Jeonbuk Motors
- Lee Seung-Woo3 goals2 assists
Jeju United FC
No league goals recorded yet.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Jeonbuk Motors the highest probability at 37%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.41 expected goals for Jeonbuk Motors against 1.43 for Jeju United FC. Jeonbuk Motors's attack/defence rating is 0.39/0.87 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 1.17/1.91 for Jeju United FC.