Pohang Steelers
vs
Ulsan Hyundai FC
K League 1 prediction & result
Final score: Pohang Steelers 0-2 Ulsan Hyundai FC.
Before kick-off the model made it 10% Pohang Steelers, 12% draw, 78% Ulsan Hyundai FC — fair odds of 10.00, 8.33 and 1.28. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-3 (8%).
Expected goals: Pohang Steelers 1.36, Ulsan Hyundai FC 3.59.
Both teams to score: 72%. Over 2.5 goals: 87%, under 2.5: 13%.
Model confidence: High.
Model insights
Form going into this match
Pohang Steelers
- L0-1Gimcheon Sangmu FC1 August 2026
- L0-2Jeonbuk Motors25 July 2026
- L1-3away to FC Seoul22 July 2026
- L1-2away to Jeju United FC18 July 2026
Ulsan Hyundai FC
- W3-1FC Anyang2 August 2026
- W3-1away to FC Seoul26 July 2026
- L1-2Incheon United21 July 2026
- D2-2away to Daejeon Citizen18 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context.
K League 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Pohang Steelers | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 28 |
| 2 | Ulsan Hyundai FC | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 30 | +5 | 37 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full tables
Leading scorers
Pohang Steelers
- Lee Ho-Jae4 goals
Ulsan Hyundai FC
- Yago Cariello4 goals
- Lee Dong-Gyeong3 goals2 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Ulsan Hyundai FC the highest probability at 78%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.36 expected goals for Pohang Steelers against 3.59 for Ulsan Hyundai FC. Pohang Steelers's attack/defence rating is 0.43/2.21 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 1.16/1.67 for Ulsan Hyundai FC.