30 July 2026, 17:45 UTC

PAOK vs Dynamo Kyiv UEFA Europa League prediction & result

Toumba Stadium, Thessaloniki
Full time2 – 0

Final score: PAOK 2-0 Dynamo Kyiv.

Before kick-off the model made it 52% PAOK, 20% draw, 28% Dynamo Kyiv — fair odds of 1.92, 5.00 and 3.57. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

The tie

Second leg of the UEFA Europa League 2nd Qualifying Round tie. First leg: Dynamo Kyiv 2–3 PAOK (23 Jul) →

PAOK went through 5–2 on aggregate.

Has the model earned this number?

It puts PAOK at 52% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 1,294 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 57.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

PAOK99%Draw1%Dynamo Kyiv0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

P. Hatzidiakos
35'
⚽G. Konstanteliasassist: Jogo
45'
⚽G. Konstanteliasassist: G. Michailidis
48'
50'
M. Ponomarenko
67'
🔁N. Voloshynout: A. Yarmolenko
67'
🔁V. Buyalskyyout: M. Shaparenko
🔁Taisonout: D. Chatsidis
69'
🔁A. Zivkovicout: A. Baba
76'
🔁P. Hatzidiakosout: A. Elustondo
76'
🔁C. Zafeirisout: M. Camara
76'
78'
M. Shaparenko
80'
🔁B. Redushkoout: V. Kabaev
🔁G. Konstanteliasout: D. Pelkas
83'
86'
🔁A. Thiareout: K. Bilovar
86'
🔁J. Lonwijkout: P. Mounguengue

Line-ups

PAOK 4-2-3-1
  • 1J. PavlenkaG
  • 3J. KennyD
  • 4P. HatzidiakosD
  • 5G. MichailidisD
  • 18JogoD
  • 20C. ZafeirisM
  • 7B. SantamariaM
  • 14A. ZivkovicM
  • 65G. KonstanteliasM
  • 11TaisonM
  • 56A. MythouF
Substitutes
  • 99A. TsiftsisG
  • 41D. MonastirlisG
  • 21A. BabaD
  • 6A. ElustondoD
  • 71L. LyratzisD
  • 25K. ThymianisD
  • 97D. BataoulasD
  • 52D. ChatsidisM
  • 10D. PelkasM
Coach: Alessio Lisci
Dynamo Kyiv 4-2-3-1
  • 71V. SurkisG
  • 5O. SychD
  • 94T. KedzioraD
  • 66A. ThiareD
  • 32T. MykhavkoD
  • 6V. BrazhkoM
  • 21J. LonwijkM
  • 9N. VoloshynM
  • 29V. BuyalskyyM
  • 70B. RedushkoM
  • 11M. PonomarenkoF
Substitutes
  • 43I. OlkhovyiG
  • 35R. NeshcheretG
  • 7A. YarmolenkoM
  • 8O. PikhalyonokM
  • 22V. KabaevM
  • 10M. ShaparenkoM
  • 40K. BilovarD
  • 15V. RubchynskyiM
  • 39E. GuerreroF
Coach: Igor Kostyuk

Form going into PAOK vs Dynamo Kyiv

PAOK

All competitions we cover

  • W3-2away to Dynamo Kyiv23 July 2026

Dynamo Kyiv

All competitions we cover

  • L2-3PAOK23 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

PAOK and Dynamo Kyiv in their domestic leagues

#TeamLeaguePWDLGFGAGDPts
5PAOKSuper League 185031611+515
4Dynamo KyivPremier League9612149+519

Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: Super League 1 · Premier League

Head-to-head: PAOK vs Dynamo Kyiv

  • 23 July 2026Dynamo Kyiv 2–3 PAOKUEFA Europa League

Leading scorers: PAOK and Dynamo Kyiv

PAOK

GoalsAssists

  • D. Pelkas30
  • C. Ndiaye30

Dynamo Kyiv

GoalsAssists

  • M. Ponomarenko50

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

PAOK beat Dynamo Kyiv 2–0. The model had made a win for PAOK its most likely outcome, at 52%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: G. Konstantelias 45' for PAOK, G. Konstantelias 48' for PAOK.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.