UEFA Europa League · 2nd Qualifying Round · 30 July 2026, 17:45 UTC

PAOK vs Dynamo Kyiv

Toumba Stadium, Thessaloniki

The model makes it 54% PAOK, 19% draw, 27% Dynamo Kyiv — fair odds of 1.85, 5.26 and 3.70. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1 (7%).

Expected goals: PAOK 2.61, Dynamo Kyiv 1.85.

Both teams to score: 78%. Over 2.5 goals: 82%, under 2.5: 18%.

Model confidence: High.

Model insights

78%
Both teams to score
82%
Over 2.5 goals
18%
Under 2.5 goals
Most likely scorelines2-1 7%2-2 7%3-1 6%

Head-to-head: PAOK vs Dynamo Kyiv

  • 30 July 2026PAOK 0–0 Dynamo KyivUEFA Europa League
  • 23 July 2026Dynamo Kyiv 2–3 PAOKUEFA Europa League
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives PAOK the highest probability at 54%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.61 expected goals for PAOK against 1.85 for Dynamo Kyiv. PAOK's attack/defence rating is 0.96/1.61 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.82/1.44 for Dynamo Kyiv.