Maccabi Tel Aviv
vs
Sheriff Tiraspol
Final score: Maccabi Tel Aviv 1-0 Sheriff Tiraspol.
Before kick-off the model made it 49% Maccabi Tel Aviv, 23% draw, 28% Sheriff Tiraspol — fair odds of 2.04, 4.35 and 3.57. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
Expected goals: Maccabi Tel Aviv 1.94, Sheriff Tiraspol 1.42.
Both teams to score: 65%. Over 2.5 goals: 65%, under 2.5: 35%.
Model confidence: Medium.
Model insights
Match stats: Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Sheriff Tiraspol
Maccabi Tel Aviv had 50% possession, 12 corners; Sheriff Tiraspol had 50% possession, 7 corners.
Goals: S. Kone (own goal) 29' for Maccabi Tel Aviv.
Head-to-head: Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Sheriff Tiraspol
- 30 July 2026Maccabi Tel Aviv 1–0 Sheriff TiraspolUEFA Europa League
- 23 July 2026Sheriff Tiraspol 0–5 Maccabi Tel AvivUEFA Europa League
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Maccabi Tel Aviv the highest probability at 49%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.94 expected goals for Maccabi Tel Aviv against 1.42 for Sheriff Tiraspol. Maccabi Tel Aviv's attack/defence rating is 0.59/1.88 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.54/1.74 for Sheriff Tiraspol.