30 July 2026, 16:00 UTC

Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Sheriff Tiraspol UEFA Europa League prediction & result

Adjarabet Arena, Batumi
Full time1 – 0

Final score: Maccabi Tel Aviv 1-0 Sheriff Tiraspol.

Before kick-off the model made it 48% Maccabi Tel Aviv, 23% draw, 29% Sheriff Tiraspol — fair odds of 2.08, 4.35 and 3.45. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Maccabi Tel Aviv at 48% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1092 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽S. Kone (OG)
29'
57'
🔁Motaout: Sapata
59'
🔁S. Koneout: V. Nihaev
🔁S. Jehezkelout: O. Davida
63'
🔁I. Shaharout: I. Ben Simon
63'
71'
V. Nihaev
77'
🔁D. Forovout: J. Modelo
77'
🔁A. Pergjoniout: N. Swen
77'
🔁L. Jaures-Ulrichout: V. Cozma
🔁N. Ben Harushout: I. Ben Hamo
79'
🔁H. Varelaout: I. Noy
79'
90+3'
B. Ciss

Match stats — Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Sheriff Tiraspol

50%Possession50%
3On target0
12Corners7

Line-ups

Maccabi Tel Aviv 4-3-3
  • 22Ofek MelikaG
  • 21Noam Ben HaroshD
  • 5Mohamed CamaraD
  • 13Raz ShlomoD
  • 3Roy RevivoD
  • 42Dor PeretzM
  • 28Issouf SissokhoM
  • 36Ido ShaharM
  • 11Sagiv JehezkelD
  • 34Saied Abu FarchiF
  • 29Hélio VarelaM
Substitutes
  • 60Ilay Ben SimonM
  • 77Osher DavidaM
  • 50Idan TrauG
  • 51Shalev SaadiaG
  • 24Noam SchwartzD
  • 25Shahar RosenD
  • 41Itai Ben HamoD
  • 10Kervin AndradeM
  • 18Dan GlazerM
Coach: Kenny Miller
Sheriff Tiraspol 4-3-3
  • 1Emil TîmburG
  • 2Mamoutou OuedraogoD
  • 15Baye Assane CissD
  • 35Fomba BouramaD
  • 6Rai LopesD
  • 22Miguel MotaD
  • 26Dhoraso Moreo KlasM
  • 76Arli PergjoniM
  • 42Konan Jaures-Ulrich LoukouM
  • 99Samba KonéM
  • 24Danila ForovM
Substitutes
  • 11SapataM
  • 17Vsevolod NihaevM
  • 21Ivan DyulgerovG
  • 28Nicolae CebotariG
  • 4Natus Jamel SwenD
  • 29Soumaila MagassoubaD
  • 37Jair ModeloD
  • 27Veaceslav CozmaM
  • 33Mihail CorotcovM
Coach: Victor Mihailov

Form going into Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Sheriff Tiraspol

Maccabi Tel Aviv

  • W5-0away to Sheriff Tiraspol23 July 2026

Sheriff Tiraspol

  • L0-5Maccabi Tel Aviv23 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Head-to-head: Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Sheriff Tiraspol

  • 30 July 2026Maccabi Tel Aviv 1–0 Sheriff TiraspolUEFA Europa League
  • 23 July 2026Sheriff Tiraspol 0–5 Maccabi Tel AvivUEFA Europa League

Leading scorers: Maccabi Tel Aviv and Sheriff Tiraspol

Maccabi Tel Aviv

  • Dor Peretz3 goals1 assists
  • E. Sokler2 goals
  • Hélio Varela1 goals1 assists

Sheriff Tiraspol

No leading scorers listed yet.

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.