30 July 2026, 16:00 UTC

Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Sheriff Tiraspol UEFA Europa League prediction & result

Batumi Stadium, Batumi
Full time1 – 0

Final score: Maccabi Tel Aviv 1-0 Sheriff Tiraspol.

Before kick-off the model made it 48% Maccabi Tel Aviv, 23% draw, 29% Sheriff Tiraspol — fair odds of 2.08, 4.35 and 3.45. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

The tie

Second leg of the UEFA Europa League 2nd Qualifying Round tie. First leg: Sheriff Tiraspol 0–5 Maccabi Tel Aviv (23 Jul) →

Maccabi Tel Aviv went through 6–0 on aggregate.

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Maccabi Tel Aviv at 48% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽S. Kone (OG)
29'
57'
🔁Motaout: Sapata
59'
🔁S. Koneout: V. Nihaev
🔁S. Jehezkelout: O. Davida
63'
🔁I. Shaharout: I. Ben Simon
63'
71'
V. Nihaev
77'
🔁D. Forovout: J. Modelo
77'
🔁A. Pergjoniout: N. Swen
77'
🔁L. Jaures-Ulrichout: V. Cozma
🔁N. Ben Harushout: I. Ben Hamo
79'
🔁H. Varelaout: I. Noy
79'
90+3'
B. Ciss

Match stats — Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Sheriff Tiraspol

50%Possession50%
3On target0
12Corners7

Line-ups

Maccabi Tel Aviv 4-3-3
  • 22Ofek MelikaG
  • 21Noam Ben HaroshD
  • 5Mohamed CamaraD
  • 13Raz ShlomoD
  • 3Roy RevivoD
  • 42Dor PeretzM
  • 28Issouf SissokhoM
  • 36Ido ShaharM
  • 11Sagiv JehezkelD
  • 34Saied Abu FarchiF
  • 29Hélio VarelaM
Substitutes
  • 60Ilay Ben SimonM
  • 77Osher DavidaM
  • 50Idan TrauG
  • 51Shalev SaadiaG
  • 24Noam SchwartzD
  • 25Shahar RosenD
  • 41Itai Ben HamoD
  • 10Kervin AndradeM
  • 18Dan GlazerM
Coach: Kenny Miller
Sheriff Tiraspol 4-3-3
  • 1Emil TîmburG
  • 2Mamoutou OuedraogoD
  • 15Baye Assane CissD
  • 35Fomba BouramaD
  • 6Rai LopesD
  • 22Miguel MotaD
  • 26Dhoraso Moreo KlasM
  • 76Arli PergjoniM
  • 42Konan Jaures-Ulrich LoukouM
  • 99Samba KonéM
  • 24Danila ForovM
Substitutes
  • 11SapataM
  • 17Vsevolod NihaevM
  • 21Ivan DyulgerovG
  • 28Nicolae CebotariG
  • 4Natus Jamel SwenD
  • 29Soumaila MagassoubaD
  • 37Jair ModeloD
  • 27Veaceslav CozmaM
  • 33Mihail CorotcovM
Coach: Victor Mihailov

Form going into Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Sheriff Tiraspol

Maccabi Tel Aviv

All competitions we cover

  • W5-0away to Sheriff Tiraspol23 July 2026

Sheriff Tiraspol

All competitions we cover

  • L0-5Maccabi Tel Aviv23 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Head-to-head: Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Sheriff Tiraspol

  • 23 July 2026Sheriff Tiraspol 0–5 Maccabi Tel AvivUEFA Europa League

Leading scorers: Maccabi Tel Aviv and Sheriff Tiraspol

Maccabi Tel Aviv

GoalsAssists

  • Dor Peretz61
  • E. Madmon22
  • O. Davida21

Sheriff Tiraspol

No leading scorers listed yet.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Maccabi Tel Aviv beat Sheriff Tiraspol 1–0. The model had made a win for Maccabi Tel Aviv its most likely outcome, at 48%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goal: S. Kone (own goal) 29' for Maccabi Tel Aviv.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.