30 July 2026, 18:30 UTC

Ferencvarosi TC vs Twente UEFA Europa League prediction & result

Groupama Arena, Budapest
Full time2 – 2

Final score: Ferencvarosi TC 2-2 Twente.

Before kick-off the model made it 40% Ferencvarosi TC, 27% draw, 33% Twente — fair odds of 2.50, 3.70 and 3.03. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

The tie

Second leg of the UEFA Europa League 2nd Qualifying Round tie. First leg: Twente 1–2 Ferencvarosi TC (23 Jul) →

Ferencvarosi TC went through 4–3 on aggregate.

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Ferencvarosi TC at 40% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Ferencvarosi TC3%Draw92%Twente5%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽T. Raemaekers (pen)
22'
P. Rommens
36'
46'
🔁K. Hlynssonout: S. Lammers
46'
🔁A. Adelgaardout: D. Weidmann
⚽L. Joseph
50'
Cadu
56'
56'
T. van den Belt
61'
S. Lemkin
63'
🔁T. van den Beltout: Y. Taha
72'
🔁D. Rotsout: M. Pjaca
72'
🔁S. Orjasaeterout: L. Vennegoor of Hesselink
🔁C. O'Dowdaout: Dele
73'
🔁L. Josephout: N. Zohore
78'
82'
⚽W. Weghorst
86'
⚽L. Vennegoor of Hesselink
88'
Y. Taha
🔁Caduout: J. Levi
88'

Line-ups

Ferencvarosi TC 4-3-3
  • 90D. DibuszG
  • 14A. OsvathM
  • 4M. GomezD
  • 28T. RaemaekersD
  • 20CaduM
  • 88P. RommensM
  • 36G. KanichowskyM
  • 17M. CorbuM
  • 16K. ZachariassenM
  • 75L. JosephF
  • 47C. O'DowdaM
Substitutes
  • 1A. VargaG
  • 7E. AcolatseM
  • 15D. ArzaniM
  • 11DeleF
  • 54O. Nagy
  • 30Z. GruberF
  • 76K. LisztesF
  • 21E. BotkaD
  • 10J. LeviM
Coach: Balazs Borbely
Twente 4-3-3
  • 1L. UnnerstallG
  • 28B. van RooijD
  • 23S. LemkinD
  • 43R. NijstadD
  • 29A. AdelgaardD
  • 6R. ZerroukiM
  • 14K. HlynssonM
  • 20T. van den BeltM
  • 11D. RotsM
  • 9W. WeghorstF
  • 27S. OrjasaeterM
Substitutes
  • 31Y. GerritsenG
  • 22R. PasveerG
  • 10S. LammersF
  • 19Y. TahaM
  • 42D. WeidmannM
  • 12G. PeixotoD
  • 7M. PjacaF
  • 3R. PropperD
  • 4M. KjoloM
Coach: John van den Brom

Form going into Ferencvarosi TC vs Twente

Ferencvarosi TC

All competitions we cover

  • L2-4away to Paks26 July 2026
  • W2-1away to Twente23 July 2026

Twente

All competitions we cover

  • L1-2Ferencvarosi TC23 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Head-to-head: Ferencvarosi TC vs Twente

  • 23 July 2026Twente 1–2 Ferencvarosi TCUEFA Europa League

Leading scorers: Ferencvarosi TC and Twente

Ferencvarosi TC

GoalsAssists

  • K. Zachariassen32
  • B. Yusuf22
  • L. Joseph21

Twente

No leading scorers listed yet.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Ferencvarosi TC and Twente drew 2–2. The model had leaned towards a win for Ferencvarosi TC at 40% and given a draw 27%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: T. Raemaekers (penalty) 22' for Ferencvarosi TC, L. Joseph 50' for Ferencvarosi TC, W. Weghorst 82' for Twente, L. Vennegoor of Hesselink 86' for Twente. Sent off: P. Rommens (Ferencvarosi TC) 36'.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.