UEFA Europa League · 2nd Qualifying Round · 30 July 2026, 18:30 UTC

Ferencvarosi TC vs Twente

Groupama Arena, Budapest

The model makes it 39% Ferencvarosi TC, 27% draw, 34% Twente — fair odds of 2.56, 3.70 and 2.94. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

Expected goals: Ferencvarosi TC 1.37, Twente 1.25.

Both teams to score: 54%. Over 2.5 goals: 49%, under 2.5: 51%.

Model confidence: Low.

Model insights

54%
Both teams to score
49%
Over 2.5 goals
51%
Under 2.5 goals
Most likely scorelines1-1 13%1-0 9%2-1 9%

Head-to-head: Ferencvarosi TC vs Twente

  • 23 July 2026Twente 1–2 Ferencvarosi TCUEFA Europa League
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives Ferencvarosi TC the highest probability at 39%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.37 expected goals for Ferencvarosi TC against 1.25 for Twente. Ferencvarosi TC's attack/defence rating is 0.67/0.85 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 1.05/1.08 for Twente.