Dynamo Kyiv vs PAOK UEFA Europa League prediction & result
Final score: Dynamo Kyiv 2-3 PAOK.
Before kick-off the model made it 39% Dynamo Kyiv, 32% draw, 29% PAOK — fair odds of 2.56, 3.13 and 3.45. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
The tie
First leg of the UEFA Europa League 2nd Qualifying Round tie. Second leg: PAOK v Dynamo Kyiv, 30 Jul →
PAOK went through 5–2 on aggregate.
All Europa League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Dynamo Kyiv at 39% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 3,919 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Line-ups
- 35R. NeshcheretG
- 94T. KedzioraD
- 40K. BilovarD
- 32T. MykhavkoD
- 44V. DubinchakD
- 8O. PikhalyonokM
- 6V. BrazhkoM
- 10M. ShaparenkoM
- 9N. VoloshynM
- 11M. PonomarenkoF
- 39E. GuerreroF
- 43I. OlkhovyiG
- 71V. SurkisG
- 7A. YarmolenkoM
- 29V. BuyalskyyM
- 15V. RubchynskyiM
- 21J. LonwijkM
- 23N. MalyshD
- 13M. Korobov
- 90D. DykyiD
- 1J. PavlenkaG
- 3J. KennyD
- 4P. HatzidiakosD
- 5G. MichailidisD
- 18JogoD
- 7B. SantamariaM
- 20C. ZafeirisM
- 14A. ZivkovicM
- 65G. KonstanteliasM
- 22T. AliM
- 56A. MythouF
- 99A. TsiftsisG
- 41D. MonastirlisG
- 11TaisonM
- 21A. BabaD
- 6A. ElustondoD
- 71L. LyratzisD
- 25K. ThymianisD
- 97D. BataoulasD
- 52D. ChatsidisM
Dynamo Kyiv and PAOK in their domestic leagues
| # | Team | League | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Dynamo Kyiv | Premier League | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 9 | +5 | 19 |
| 5 | PAOK | Super League 1 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 11 | +5 | 15 |
Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: Premier League · Super League 1
Leading scorers: Dynamo Kyiv and PAOK
Dynamo Kyiv
GoalsAssists
- M. Ponomarenko50
PAOK
GoalsAssists
- D. Pelkas30
- C. Ndiaye30
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
PAOK won 3–2 at Dynamo Kyiv. The model had leaned towards a win for Dynamo Kyiv at 39% and given a win for PAOK 29%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: V. Brazhko 4' for Dynamo Kyiv, G. Konstantelias 13' for PAOK, C. Zafeiris 38' for PAOK, B. Santamaria 51' for PAOK, J. Lonwijk 78' for Dynamo Kyiv.