UEFA Europa Conference League · 2nd Qualifying Round · 30 July 2026, 18:00 UTC

Ludogorets vs Hapoel Tel Aviv

Huvepharma Arena, Razgrad

The model makes it 65% Ludogorets, 22% draw, 13% Hapoel Tel Aviv — fair odds of 1.54, 4.55 and 7.69. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0 (13%).

Expected goals: Ludogorets 1.92, Hapoel Tel Aviv 0.73.

Both teams to score: 45%. Over 2.5 goals: 50%, under 2.5: 50%.

Model confidence: High.

Model insights

45%
Both teams to score
50%
Over 2.5 goals
50%
Under 2.5 goals
Most likely scorelines1-0 13%2-0 13%1-1 10%

Head-to-head: Ludogorets vs Hapoel Tel Aviv

  • 30 July 2026Ludogorets 0–1 Hapoel Tel AvivUEFA Europa Conference League
  • 23 July 2026Hapoel Tel Aviv 2–0 LudogoretsUEFA Europa Conference League
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives Ludogorets the highest probability at 65%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.92 expected goals for Ludogorets against 0.73 for Hapoel Tel Aviv. Ludogorets's attack/defence rating is 0.53/0.99 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.53/1.92 for Hapoel Tel Aviv.