UEFA Europa Conference League · 2nd Qualifying Round · 30 July 2026, 16:00 UTC

FC Noah vs Zimbru

Abovyan City Stadium, Abovyan

Full time2 – 1

Final score: FC Noah 2-1 Zimbru.

Before kick-off the model made it 76% FC Noah, 16% draw, 8% Zimbru — fair odds of 1.32, 6.25 and 12.50. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0 (12%).

Expected goals: FC Noah 2.58, Zimbru 0.76.

Both teams to score: 49%. Over 2.5 goals: 65%, under 2.5: 35%.

Model confidence: High.

Model insights

49%

Both teams to score

65%

Over 2.5 goals

35%

Under 2.5 goals

Most likely scorelines2-0 12%3-0 10%2-1 9%

Match stats: FC Noah vs Zimbru

Goals: G. Manvelyan 31' for FC Noah, G. Sangare 47' for FC Noah, Jonathas 76' for Zimbru.

Head-to-head: FC Noah vs Zimbru

30 July 2026FC Noah 2–1 ZimbruUEFA Europa Conference League
23 July 2026Zimbru 1–1 FC NoahUEFA Europa Conference League

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives FC Noah the highest probability at 76%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.58 expected goals for FC Noah against 0.76 for Zimbru. FC Noah's attack/defence rating is 0.64/1.26 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.43/2.13 for Zimbru.