23 July 2026, 18:00 UTC

Paks vs Panathinaikos UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result

Fehérvári úti stadion, Paks
Full time1 – 2

Final score: Paks 1-2 Panathinaikos.

Before kick-off the model made it 32% Paks, 28% draw, 40% Panathinaikos — fair odds of 3.13, 3.57 and 2.50. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

The tie

First leg of the UEFA Europa Conference League 2nd Qualifying Round tie. Second leg: Panathinaikos v Paks, 30 Jul →

Panathinaikos went through 4–3 on aggregate.

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Panathinaikos at 40% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

41'
⚽G. Vas (OG)
🔁M. Szekszardiout: M. Gyorfi
46'
53'
Triantafyllos Tsapras
54'
Adam Gnezda Čerin
55'
⚽S. Andino
🔁J. Szalaiout: D. Bode
62'
🔁J. Hahnout: M. Peto
62'
🔁K. Pappout: K. Horvath
62'
64'
🔁A. Gnezda Cerinout: P. Chirivella
64'
🔁A. Tettehout: E. Rastoder
69'
🔁A. Zarouryout: F. Pellistri
69'
🔁S. Andinoout: P. Pantelidis
⚽D. Bodeassist: K. Horvath
71'
79'
🔁A. Jagusicout: S. Kontouris
🔁B. Lenzserout: H. Kuzma
81'
90+1'
Pavlos Pantelidis

Match stats — Paks vs Panathinaikos

40%Possession60%
15Shots18
2On target6
5Corners4

Line-ups

Paks 3-4-2-1
  • 1Ádám KovácsikG
  • 26Milán SzekszárdiD
  • 12Gabor VasD
  • 30János SzabóD
  • 24Bence LenzsérM
  • 22József WindeckerM
  • 8Balázs BaloghM
  • 20Márió ZekeM
  • 9János HahnF
  • 21Kristóf PappF
  • 7József SzalaiF
Substitutes
  • 6Milán GyőrfiM
  • 19Kevin HorváthM
  • 17Milán PetőM
  • 13Dániel BödeF
  • 11Hunor KuzmaD
  • 28Márk GyetvánG
  • 4Andor LapuM
  • 5Bálint VécseiM
  • 18Gergő GyurkitsM
Coach: Gyorgy Bognar
Panathinaikos 4-3-3
  • 1Iñaki PeñaG
  • 19Triantafyllos TsaprasD
  • 6Stefan de VrijD
  • 5Ahmed ToubaD
  • 77Georgios KyriakopoulosD
  • 8Adriano JagušićM
  • 22Etienne CamaraM
  • 16Adam Gnezda ČerinM
  • 11Anass ZarouryF
  • 7Andreas TettehF
  • 10Santino AndinoF
Substitutes
  • 4Pedro ChirivellaM
  • 74Elmin RastoderF
  • 17Pavlos PantelidisF
  • 28Facundo PellistriM
  • 18Sotiris KontourisM
  • 12Lucas ChávesG
  • 70Konstantinos KotsarisG
  • 3Georgios KatrisD
  • 55Rick Van DrongelenD
Coach: Jacob Neestrup

Paks and Panathinaikos in their domestic leagues

#TeamLeaguePWDLGFGAGDPts
4PaksNB I115242219+317
1PanathinaikosUEFA Europa Conference League220072+56

Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: NB I · UEFA Europa Conference League

Leading scorers: Paks and Panathinaikos

Paks

GoalsAssists

  • J. Szalai61
  • M. Pető41

Panathinaikos

GoalsAssists

  • C. Dessers60

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Panathinaikos won 2–1 at Paks. The model had made a win for Panathinaikos its most likely outcome, at 40%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: G. Vas (own goal) 41' for Panathinaikos, S. Andino 55' for Panathinaikos, D. Bode 71' for Paks.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.