5 August 2026, 18:30 UTC

Panathinaikos vs CSKA 1948 UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result

Olympic Stadium of Athens, Athens
Full time1 – 1

Final score: Panathinaikos 1-1 CSKA 1948.

Before kick-off the model made it 31% Panathinaikos, 22% draw, 47% CSKA 1948 — fair odds of 3.23, 4.55 and 2.13. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts CSKA 1948 at 47% here. Across 2454 settled matches, 1104 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Panathinaikos5%Draw89%CSKA 19486%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽A. Jagusicassist: S. Andino
21'
31'
⚽G. Rusevassist: H. Cuellar
50'
Héctor Cuellar
🔁F. Pellistriout: V. Taborda
60'
🔁S. Andinoout: A. Zaroury
67'
🔁E. Camaraout: A. Gnezda Cerin
67'
67'
🔁A. Ilievout: M. Diallo
Triantafyllos Tsapras
69'
74'
🔁H. Cuellarout: E. Franco
🔁T. Tsaprasout: G. Katris
85'
🔁A. Jagusicout: S. Kontouris
85'

Match stats — Panathinaikos vs CSKA 1948

69%Possession31%
14Shots19
5On target2
8Corners7

Line-ups

Panathinaikos 4-2-3-1
  • 1I. PenaG
  • 19T. TsaprasD
  • 6S. de VrijD
  • 55R. Van DrongelenD
  • 77G. KyriakopoulosD
  • 4P. ChirivellaM
  • 22E. CamaraM
  • 28F. PellistriM
  • 8A. JagusicM
  • 10S. AndinoM
  • 74E. RastoderF
Substitutes
  • 12L. ChavesG
  • 70K. Kotsaris
  • 3G. Katris
  • 5A. ToubaD
  • 11A. ZarouryF
  • 16A. Gnezda CerinM
  • 18S. KontourisM
  • 20V. TabordaF
  • 30G. KyriopoulosF
Coach: Jacob Neestrup
CSKA 1948 4-4-1-1
  • 1P. MarinovG
  • 2D. MedinaD
  • 4A. HoffmannD
  • 3L. DvaliD
  • 22O. GasevicD
  • 67FredericM
  • 33H. CuellarM
  • 8M. ZemzemiM
  • 30J. MeyerM
  • 11G. RusevF
  • 9A. IlievF
Substitutes
  • 13D. SheytanovG
  • 31A. BozhevG
  • 6E. ParkhomenkoD
  • 14K. Strinski
  • 15F. SoltaniD
  • 19M. Boychev
  • 20B. Sobrero
  • 23F. KrebsM
  • 34P. VitanovM
Coach: Yuriy Vasev

Form going into Panathinaikos vs CSKA 1948

Panathinaikos

  • D2-2Paks30 July 2026
  • W2-1away to Paks23 July 2026

CSKA 1948

  • W2-1Arda Kardzhali31 July 2026
  • D0-0Spartak Trnava28 July 2026
  • W2-1Botev Vratsa25 July 2026
  • D0-0away to Spartak Trnava22 July 2026
  • D2-2away to Spartak Varna17 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Panathinaikos and CSKA 1948 in their domestic leagues

#TeamLeaguePWDLGFGAGDPts
1PanathinaikosSuper League 14400112+912
4CSKA 1948First League9612179+819

Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: Super League 1 · First League

Head-to-head: Panathinaikos vs CSKA 1948

  • 5 August 2026Panathinaikos 1–1 CSKA 1948UEFA Europa Conference League
  • 5 July 2023CSKA 1948 0–1 PanathinaikosFriendlies Clubs
  • 5 July 2023Panathinaikos 1–0 CSKA 1948Friendlies Clubs

Leading scorers: Panathinaikos and CSKA 1948

Panathinaikos

  • V. Taborda3 goals1 assists
  • A. Tetteh2 goals
  • K. Kangwa1 goals1 assists

CSKA 1948

  • Frédéric Maciel1 goals

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.