Panathinaikos vs CSKA 1948 UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result
Final score: Panathinaikos 1-1 CSKA 1948.
Before kick-off the model made it 31% Panathinaikos, 22% draw, 47% CSKA 1948 — fair odds of 3.23, 4.55 and 2.13.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
The tie
First leg of the UEFA Europa Conference League 3rd Qualifying Round tie. Second leg: CSKA 1948 v Panathinaikos, 11 Aug →
Panathinaikos went through 3–2 on aggregate.
All Conference League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
CSKA 1948 at 47%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Panathinaikos vs CSKA 1948
Line-ups
- 1I. PenaG
- 19T. TsaprasD
- 6S. de VrijD
- 55R. Van DrongelenD
- 77G. KyriakopoulosD
- 4P. ChirivellaM
- 22E. CamaraM
- 28F. PellistriM
- 8A. JagusicM
- 10S. AndinoM
- 74E. RastoderF
- 12L. ChavesG
- 70K. Kotsaris
- 3G. Katris
- 5A. ToubaD
- 11A. ZarouryF
- 16A. Gnezda CerinM
- 18S. KontourisM
- 20V. TabordaF
- 30G. KyriopoulosF
- 1P. MarinovG
- 2D. MedinaD
- 4A. HoffmannD
- 3L. DvaliD
- 22O. GasevicD
- 67FredericM
- 33H. CuellarM
- 8M. ZemzemiM
- 30J. MeyerM
- 11G. RusevF
- 9A. IlievF
- 13D. SheytanovG
- 31A. BozhevG
- 6E. ParkhomenkoD
- 14K. Strinski
- 15F. SoltaniD
- 19M. Boychev
- 20B. Sobrero
- 23F. KrebsM
- 34P. VitanovM
Form going into Panathinaikos vs CSKA 1948
Panathinaikos
All competitions we cover
- D2-2Paks30 July 2026
- W2-1away to Paks23 July 2026
CSKA 1948
All competitions we cover
- W2-1Arda Kardzhali31 July 2026
- D0-0Spartak Trnava28 July 2026
- W2-1Botev Vratsa25 July 2026
- D0-0away to Spartak Trnava22 July 2026
- D2-2away to Spartak Varna17 July 2026
What these results say
- CSKA 1948 went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Panathinaikos and CSKA 1948 in their domestic leagues
| # | Team | League | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Panathinaikos | UEFA Europa Conference League | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | +6 | 9 |
| 4 | CSKA 1948 | First League | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 33 | 16 | +17 | 29 |
Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: UEFA Europa Conference League · First League
Head-to-head: Panathinaikos vs CSKA 1948
- 5 July 2023CSKA 1948 0–1 PanathinaikosFriendlies Clubs
- 5 July 2023Panathinaikos 1–0 CSKA 1948Friendlies Clubs
Leading scorers: Panathinaikos and CSKA 1948
Panathinaikos
GoalsAssists
- C. Dessers60
CSKA 1948
GoalsAssists
- Frédéric Maciel30
- Elias Franco20
- A. Iliev10
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Panathinaikos and CSKA 1948 drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for CSKA 1948 at 47% and given a draw 22%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 5 matches like this one. The goals: A. Jagusic 21' for Panathinaikos, G. Rusev 31' for CSKA 1948.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.