UEFA Europa Conference League · 3rd Qualifying Round · 5 August 2026, 18:30 UTC

Panathinaikos vs CSKA 1948

Olympic Stadium of Athens, Athens

The model makes it 31% Panathinaikos, 22% draw, 47% CSKA 1948 — fair odds of 3.23, 4.55 and 2.13. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

Expected goals: Panathinaikos 1.68, CSKA 1948 2.08.

Both teams to score: 72%. Over 2.5 goals: 73%, under 2.5: 27%.

Model confidence: Medium.

Model insights

72%
Both teams to score
73%
Over 2.5 goals
27%
Under 2.5 goals
Most likely scorelines1-1 9%1-2 8%2-2 7%

Head-to-head: Panathinaikos vs CSKA 1948

  • 5 July 2023CSKA 1948 0–1 PanathinaikosFriendlies Clubs
  • 5 July 2023Panathinaikos 1–0 CSKA 1948Friendlies Clubs
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives CSKA 1948 the highest probability at 47%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.68 expected goals for Panathinaikos against 2.08 for CSKA 1948. Panathinaikos's attack/defence rating is 0.67/1.67 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.89/1.33 for CSKA 1948.