Brann vs Apollon Limassol UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result
Final score: Brann 0-1 Apollon Limassol.
Before kick-off the model made it 53% Brann, 22% draw, 25% Apollon Limassol — fair odds of 1.89, 4.55 and 4.00.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
The tie
First leg of the UEFA Europa Conference League 3rd Qualifying Round tie. Second leg: Apollon Limassol v Brann, 11 Aug →
Brann went through 4–3 on aggregate.
All Conference League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Brann at 53%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Brann vs Apollon Limassol
Line-ups
- 1M. DyngelandG
- 21D. De RoeveD
- 3F. KnudsenD
- 23T. PedersenD
- 17J. SoltvedtD
- 10K. M. IngasonM
- 18J. SorensenM
- 19E. GudmundssonM
- 16K. EriksenM
- 29N. HolmF
- 9N. CastroF
- 12S. NilsenG
- 36H. M. HellesoyG
- 6D. MbackeD
- 11B. FinneF
- 20V. DragsnesD
- 22S. MagnussonF
- 25N. WassbergM
- 26R. MatondoF
- 32M. HaalandM
- 22P. KuhnG
- 76B. GasparD
- 37L. KonomisD
- 44J. KvidaD
- 14G. MalekkidisD
- 5M. BrownM
- 77I. LjubicM
- 30D. EscricheF
- 27G. WeissbeckM
- 23B. ThomasM
- 9A. OzboltF
- 41P. LeeuwenburghG
- 4E. AiwuD
- 10G. RodriguesM
- 11E. AndreouM
- 17C. DuoduM
- 18A. AthanasiouM
- 19N. ZinonosD
- 20D. SpoljaricM
- 26A. ShikkisD
Form going into Brann vs Apollon Limassol
Brann
All competitions we cover
- W3-2Rosenborg2 August 2026
- W3-1Universitatea Cluj30 July 2026
- L2-3Valerenga26 July 2026
- D2-2away to Universitatea Cluj23 July 2026
- W2-1away to Molde18 July 2026
Apollon Limassol
All competitions we cover
- W3-0Dila28 July 2026
- W4-0away to Dila23 July 2026
What these results say
- Brann scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Brann conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Every one of these 5 matches for Brann had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Brann and Apollon Limassol in their domestic leagues
| # | Team | League | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Brann | UEFA Europa Conference League | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 7 |
| 5 | Apollon Limassol | 1. Division | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 21 | 11 | +10 | 16 |
Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: UEFA Europa Conference League · Cyprus 1. Division
Leading scorers: Brann and Apollon Limassol
Brann
GoalsAssists
- N. Holm30
Apollon Limassol
GoalsAssists
- Brandon Thomas41
- A. Ožbolt40
- Garry Rodrigues24
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Apollon Limassol won 1–0 at Brann. The model had leaned towards a win for Brann at 53% and given a win for Apollon Limassol 25%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goal: A. Ozbolt 22' for Apollon Limassol.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.