5 August 2026, 17:00 UTC

Brann vs Apollon Limassol UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result

Brann Stadion, Bergen
Full time0 – 1

Final score: Brann 0-1 Apollon Limassol.

Before kick-off the model made it 53% Brann, 22% draw, 25% Apollon Limassol — fair odds of 1.89, 4.55 and 4.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Brann at 53% here. Across 2454 settled matches, 631 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Brann0%Draw6%Apollon Limassol94%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

22'
⚽A. Ozbolt
45'
A. Ozbolt
N. Castro
47'
57'
🔁L. Konomisout: E. Aiwu
🔁N. Holmout: S. Magnusson
68'
🔁K. M. Ingasonout: N. Wassberg
68'
75'
🔁G. Weissbeckout: G. Rodrigues
75'
🔁A. Ozboltout: C. Duodu
78'
P. Kuhn
🔁E. Gudmundssonout: B. Finne
86'
86'
🔁B. Thomasout: N. Zinonos
86'
🔁D. Escricheout: K. Balogiannis
K. Eriksen
90+2'

Match stats — Brann vs Apollon Limassol

0%Possession0%
1On target3
6Corners4

Line-ups

Brann 4-3-3
  • 1M. DyngelandG
  • 21D. De RoeveD
  • 3F. KnudsenD
  • 23T. PedersenD
  • 17J. SoltvedtD
  • 10K. M. IngasonM
  • 18J. SorensenM
  • 19E. GudmundssonM
  • 16K. EriksenM
  • 29N. HolmF
  • 9N. CastroF
Substitutes
  • 12S. NilsenG
  • 36H. M. HellesoyG
  • 6D. MbackeD
  • 11B. FinneF
  • 20V. DragsnesD
  • 22S. MagnussonF
  • 25N. WassbergM
  • 26R. MatondoF
  • 32M. HaalandM
Coach: Eirik Horneland
Apollon Limassol 4-2-3-1
  • 22P. KuhnG
  • 76B. GasparD
  • 37L. KonomisD
  • 44J. KvidaD
  • 14G. MalekkidisD
  • 5M. BrownM
  • 77I. LjubicM
  • 30D. EscricheF
  • 27G. WeissbeckM
  • 23B. ThomasM
  • 9A. OzboltF
Substitutes
  • 41P. LeeuwenburghG
  • 4E. AiwuD
  • 10G. RodriguesM
  • 11E. AndreouM
  • 17C. DuoduM
  • 18A. AthanasiouM
  • 19N. ZinonosD
  • 20D. SpoljaricM
  • 26A. ShikkisD
Coach: Hernan Losada

Form going into Brann vs Apollon Limassol

Brann

  • W3-2Rosenborg2 August 2026

Apollon Limassol

  • W3-0Dila28 July 2026
  • W4-0away to Dila23 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Head-to-head: Brann vs Apollon Limassol

  • 5 August 2026Brann 0–1 Apollon LimassolUEFA Europa Conference League

Leading scorers: Brann and Apollon Limassol

Brann

  • N. Holm6 goals2 assists

Apollon Limassol

No leading scorers listed yet.

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.