UEFA Europa Conference League · 3rd Qualifying Round · 5 August 2026, 17:00 UTC

Brann vs Apollon Limassol

Brann Stadion, Bergen

The model makes it 53% Brann, 22% draw, 25% Apollon Limassol — fair odds of 1.89, 4.55 and 4.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

Expected goals: Brann 2.08, Apollon Limassol 1.38.

Both teams to score: 66%. Over 2.5 goals: 67%, under 2.5: 33%.

Model confidence: High.

Model insights

66%

Both teams to score

67%

Over 2.5 goals

33%

Under 2.5 goals

Most likely scorelines1-1 9%2-1 9%2-0 7%

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives Brann the highest probability at 53%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.08 expected goals for Brann against 1.38 for Apollon Limassol. Brann's attack/defence rating is 0.68/1.49 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.66/1.62 for Apollon Limassol.