6 August 2026, 19:00 UTC

Tre Fiori vs Drita UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result

San Marino Stadium, Serravalle
Full time1 – 4

Final score: Tre Fiori 1-4 Drita.

Before kick-off the model made it 26% Tre Fiori, 23% draw, 51% Drita — fair odds of 3.85, 4.35 and 1.96.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

The tie

First leg of the UEFA Europa Conference League 3rd Qualifying Round tie. Second leg: Drita v Tre Fiori, 13 Aug →

Drita went through 9–1 on aggregate.

Has the model earned this number?

Drita at 51%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Tre Fiori0%Draw1%Drita99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

🔁F. Benedettiniout: J. van Nek
46'
⚽M. Prandelliassist: B. Sami
56'
59'
🔁I. Jashariout: L. Balaj
61'
⚽R. Ovouka
63'
⚽A. Manajassist: K. Abazaj
🔁T. Sykuout: S. Giocondi
69'
77'
🔁K. Abazajout: B. Sheji
77'
🔁A. Manajout: W. Baeten
🔁F. Manciniout: M. Ferri
80'
82'
⚽B. Krasniqiassist: V. Limaj
88'
🔁A. Dabiqajout: R. Broja
90'
⚽B. Krasniqi (pen)

Match stats — Tre Fiori vs Drita

33%Possession67%
2On target9
0Corners9

Line-ups

Tre Fiori 4-5-1
  • 17M. NardiG
  • 2A. D'Addario
  • 6T. SykuD
  • 23A. SirriD
  • 3M. SancisiD
  • 22F. Mancini
  • 8L. CensoniM
  • 4B. SamiM
  • 20F. BenedettiniM
  • 24P. MengucciD
  • 9M. PrandelliF
Substitutes
  • 33M. BerardiG
  • 12F. PesaresiD
  • 16F. DolciniM
  • 77M. FerriD
  • 18M. FrancioniF
  • 11J. van NekF
  • 72S. GiocondiD
Coach: Matteo Cecchetti
Drita 4-2-3-1
  • 1F. MalokuG
  • 2B. KrasniqiD
  • 25A. BytyciD
  • 32J. PellumbiD
  • 26R. OvoukaD
  • 14A. DabiqajM
  • 8V. LimajM
  • 77K. AbazajM
  • 19B. KrasniqiF
  • 7I. JashariM
  • 9A. ManajF
Substitutes
  • 22L. BehluliG
  • 74E. Isufi
  • 3B. ShejiD
  • 4R. BrojaM
  • 10L. BalajM
  • 17O. GrezdaF
  • 24W. BaetenM
  • 28A. MjakiD
  • 55H. SalihuD
Coach: Zekirija Ramadani

Form going into Tre Fiori vs Drita

Tre Fiori

No earlier matches on record this season.

Drita

All competitions we cover

  • W2-1Floriana28 July 2026
  • D1-1away to Floriana21 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

The result against the call

Drita won 4–1 at Tre Fiori. The model had made a win for Drita its most likely outcome, at 51%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: M. Prandelli 56' for Tre Fiori, R. Ovouka 61' for Drita, A. Manaj 63' for Drita, B. Krasniqi 82' for Drita, B. Krasniqi (penalty) 90' for Drita.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.