27 August 2026, 17:00 UTC

Pafos vs Dinamo Tirana UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result

Stelios Kyriakides Stadium, Pafos
Full time4 – 2

Final score: Pafos 4-2 Dinamo Tirana.

Before kick-off the model made it 31% Pafos, 28% draw, 41% Dinamo Tirana — fair odds of 3.23, 3.57 and 2.44. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Dinamo Tirana at 41% here. Across 2,959 settled matches (as of 3 October 2026), 1,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.8% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

8'
⚽D. Fadairoassist: R. Silva-Richards
⚽K. Sema
13'
26'
Fabjan Perndreca
56'
Klevi Qefalija
56'
Eridon Qardaku
62'
🔁F. Perndrecaout: E. Hoxhallari
🔁I. Sunjicout: Guga
64'
70'
🔁E. Qardakuout: A. Alhassan
70'
🔁D. Fadairoout: H. Berisha
•Guga
72'
🔁J. Correiaout: N. Moumi Ngamaleu
73'
⚽N. Ioannouassist: N. Moumi Ngamaleu
78'
Lelê
82'
83'
🔁K. Qefalijaout: F. Ruci
83'
🔁M. Ayodejiout: A. Ajzeraj
🔁K. Semaout: D. Quina
84'
🔁V. Dragomirout: S. Mmaee
85'
🔁Leleout: Anderson Silva
85'
87'
⚽R. Silva-Richardsassist: B. Dita
Domingos Quina
90+1'
101'
Ysni Ismaili
Pêpê
104'
104'
🔁U. Ismailiout: F. Farruku
David Luiz
106'
Bruno
112'
Samy Mmaee
113'
113'
Lorenco Vila
⚽A. Teqja (OG)
116'
⚽Anderson Silva
120'

Match stats — Pafos vs Dinamo Tirana

49%Possession51%
21Shots7
8On target2
5Corners2

Line-ups

Pafos 4-3-3
  • 99R. MajeckiG
  • 7BrunoD
  • 5D. GoldarD
  • 4David LuizD
  • 14N. IoannouD
  • 30V. DragomirM
  • 26I. SunjicM
  • 88PepeM
  • 77J. CorreiaF
  • 18LeleF
  • 12K. SemaF
Substitutes
  • 71M. PapastylianouG
  • 82P. PetrouG
  • 3S. MmaeeD
  • 72K. IoannouD
  • 61M. KaisD
  • 6GugaM
  • 13N. Moumi NgamaleuF
  • 60C. Efzona
  • 8D. QuinaM
Coach: Ricardo Sa Pinto
Dinamo Tirana 4-4-2
  • 77A. TeqjaG
  • 2U. Ismaili
  • 22B. DitaD
  • 27N. AlijiD
  • 13F. PerndrecaD
  • 20M. AyodejiM
  • 21K. QefalijaM
  • 8E. QardakuM
  • 10L. VilaM
  • 33D. Fadairo
  • 11R. Silva-RichardsF
Substitutes
  • 1E. SaliG
  • 97T. Kiri
  • 5E. HoxhallariD
  • 88F. RuciM
  • 28I. ManellariM
  • 6A. AlhassanM
  • 7A. AjzerajF
  • 24F. Farruku
  • 29H. BerishaF
Coach: Ilir Daja

Form going into Pafos vs Dinamo Tirana

Pafos

  • D1-1away to Dinamo Tirana20 August 2026
  • D3-3Red Bull Salzburg13 August 2026
  • L0-1away to Red Bull Salzburg6 August 2026
  • W2-0HNK Hajduk Split30 July 2026
  • L0-2away to HNK Hajduk Split23 July 2026

Dinamo Tirana

  • D1-1Pafos20 August 2026
  • W4-0Auda13 August 2026
  • L0-1away to Auda4 August 2026
  • W3-0Aluminij30 July 2026
  • D1-1away to Aluminij23 July 2026

What these results say

  • Pafos failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Pafos conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • 4 of these 5 matches for Pafos had two goals or fewer.
  • Dinamo Tirana scored in 4 of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Head-to-head: Pafos vs Dinamo Tirana

  • 20 August 2026Dinamo Tirana 1–1 PafosUEFA Europa Conference League

Previous meetings on this site's own match record, which begins in July 2026 — any earlier meeting between these clubs is not listed here.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.