FK Partizan
vs
Getafe
UEFA Europa Conference League prediction
The model makes it 15% FK Partizan, 22% draw, 63% Getafe — fair odds of 6.67, 4.55 and 1.59. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-2 (11%).
Expected goals: FK Partizan 0.90, Getafe 2.01.
Both teams to score: 52%. Over 2.5 goals: 56%, under 2.5: 44%.
Model confidence: High.
Model insights
Form going into this match
FK Partizan
- L1-2IMT Novi Beograd2 August 2026
- W3-1away to Macva26 July 2026
- D2-2away to Zemun18 July 2026
Getafe
No earlier matches on record this season.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Domestic league positions
| # | Team | League | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | FK Partizan | Super Liga | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 4 |
Each side's position in its own domestic league — they meet here from different competitions. Getafe has not started the league season yet. Full tables
A clear gap in the ratings
FK Partizan carry a model rating of 6.3 against 6.88 for Getafe. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
Recent form (most recent last): FK Partizan D-W-L.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 0.90 goals for FK Partizan and 2.01 for Getafe. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
FK Partizan rate 0.61 in attack and 1.84 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Getafe rate 0.78 and 0.78.
That points to 56% for over two and a half goals and 52% for both teams to score.
The three most likely scorelines are 0-2 (11%), 0-1 (10%), 1-1 (10%).
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 336 correct results out of 706 settled predictions (48%), with 66 exact scorelines (9%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Getafe the highest probability at 63%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 0.9 expected goals for FK Partizan against 2.01 for Getafe. FK Partizan's attack/defence rating is 0.61/1.84 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.78/0.78 for Getafe.